Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, August 31, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MARÍN MANRÍQUEZ Ángel Fernando 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
2 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
3 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
3 HUANG Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
5 PARK Rion 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
6 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
7 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
8 WANG Michael 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
9 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
10 ZHOU Shawn 100% 99% 86% 52% 19% 4% -
11 LOZANO Veyron Jericho 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 4%
12 ZHOU Chenqiao 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
13 KIM Jonah 100% 97% 78% 37% 7% -
14 CHEN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
15 MORROW Brenden 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
16 BORG Matthew 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
17 VILLACRESES Mathias 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
18 YUE Jackson 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
19 ZHOU Ryan 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
20 KIM Aiden 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1%
20 QIU Zhaocheng 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
22 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
23 LI Edison M. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
24 LI Richard 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 6%
25 DESAI Nalin H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
26 PARK Sky 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
27 PINCHENG Yao 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
28 YI William W. 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
29 SEIGEL Duncan 100% 97% 63% 22% 4% - -
30 SISINNI Leonardo 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
31 LIU William 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 5%
32 HABBOUB Qusai 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 39% 9%
33 WONG Evan 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7%
34 PARK William 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
35 BAE Eugene 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
36 CHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
37 WONG Braxton 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
38 WILLIAMS Dean 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
39 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
40 GORDON William L. 100% 96% 65% 25% 5% - -
41 FARRAG Sherif G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
42 ZHANG Jacob 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
43 DIVITO Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 79%
44 CAJERO Luis O. 100% 90% 51% 14% 1% -
45 NAVARRO Kato 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
46 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
47 TSOI Spencer 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
48 ZHANG Jayden 100% 94% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
49 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
50 BIELER Mason 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
51 UYPECKCUAT Maximillian Trajan 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1%
52 LI Daniel 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
53 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3%
54 PETROV Mikhail 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
55 HERNANDEZ BERRON Salvador 100% 96% 68% 29% 7% 1% -
56 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
57 KARPMAN Benny 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
58 YANG Charles 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% 1%
59 PE Noah 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1%
60 YU ShiYu (Henry) 100% 87% 52% 19% 3% -
61 NISHIHIRA Tyler 100% 99% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
62 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 3% -
63 GUDIMETLA Siddhanth 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
64 LEE Christopher 100% 30% 4% - - - -
65 MEDVIDOVIC Pavle 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
66 KUZMAK Michael J. 100% 99% 87% 53% 14% 1%
67 DACKO Nolan 100% 42% 8% 1% - -
68 FOY Grant 100% 87% 48% 15% 2% - -
69 SUMIN Yang 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
70 WALLAK Jesse J. 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
71 WEI Winston 100% 95% 70% 31% 8% 1% -
72 ORNELAS Matteo 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% -
73 CHANG Nathan 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% -
74 SU Desmond 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
75 SU Preston 100% 52% 12% 1% - -
76 LEONG Wilson Hua 100% 35% 5% - - - -
77 BURLINGAME Owen 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
77 XU Ryan 100% 49% 12% 1% - - -
79 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 18% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.