Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Monday, September 1, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG James - 1% 8% 24% 37% 24% 5%
2 LOPEZ Mateo - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
3 LUO Gavin - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
3 LVOVSKIY Roman - 1% 7% 26% 42% 23%
5 SU Eric - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
6 FU BRANDEN - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
7 CAO Chong - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
8 WANG Henrik - 2% 14% 37% 36% 11%
9 FAKHRI Adrian - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 10%
10 QI Zach - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
11 LEI Isaac 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
12 JI Derek 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
13 LEE Kyle Sung Ju - 3% 15% 35% 34% 13% 1%
14 DESAI Arthav - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
15 YE Aaron - - 5% 25% 44% 26%
16 ZHANG Hanzhi 3% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
17 LEE Jayden - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 15%
18 CHEN Aaron - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
19 MOROAICA Seiku - - 1% 6% 25% 42% 25%
20 ZHENG Matt - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
21 CHOI LIAM - 1% 8% 28% 42% 22%
22 HSIEH Maxwell - - 4% 15% 34% 35% 11%
23 EKAMBARAM Rithik - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
24 DENG Aurik 4% 24% 41% 24% 6% 1% -
25 WU Allen 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
26 WONG Alexander - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
27 YOON Jacob 11% 33% 36% 17% 4% -
28 RAZAI Evan - - 4% 19% 37% 32% 8%
29 DENG Richard - 2% 15% 36% 35% 11%
30 RAMAKRISHNA Arjun 1% 11% 35% 36% 14% 2%
31 LI Sky 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
32 BURKHART Camden 8% 30% 39% 19% 4% - -
33 FERRING Theo - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
34 ELSAYED Omar 2% 14% 38% 34% 12% 1%
35 DING Orlando 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
36 LOVELL Jackson 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
37 DAUM William 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
38 CHUNG Evan - 2% 14% 37% 36% 11%
38 NG Jaden 33% 48% 17% 2% - -
40 YUNG Nathan 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
41 JECHA Zachary 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
42 WOO Slade 4% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
43 WU Aiden 27% 48% 21% 4% - -
44 VAN CLEVE Isaac 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
45 RAMOS Pious 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
46 CHEN Donovan 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
47 NGUYEN Tristan 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
48 DING Kyen 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
49 SUN Alan 13% 39% 35% 12% 2% - -
50 WHITE Marcus 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
51 WANG Chuyun - 1% 8% 27% 38% 21% 4%
52 RAMAKRISHNA Aditya 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
53 LAD Anish 23% 42% 26% 8% 1% - -
54 LIU Franklin 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
55 LIU Huberry - < 1% - 2% 13% 41% 44%
56 CONCANNON Jackson 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
57 CHOI Theo 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
57 SO Cheston - 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
59 HELM Kevan - 7% 29% 40% 20% 4% -
60 BOURCIER Rowan 19% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
61 LIU Jayden 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
62 LI Edward 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% -
63 PILYAVSKY Daniel 17% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
64 ZHU Mason 31% 47% 19% 3% - -
65 CHAN Ethan 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
66 SHETTY Vikram 32% 45% 19% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.