Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Monday, September 1, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG James 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
2 LOPEZ Mateo 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
3 LUO Gavin 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
3 LVOVSKIY Roman 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
5 SU Eric 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
6 FU BRANDEN 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
7 CAO Chong 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
8 WANG Henrik 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 11%
9 FAKHRI Adrian 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
10 QI Zach 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
11 LEI Isaac 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
12 JI Derek 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
13 LEE Kyle Sung Ju 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13% 1%
14 DESAI Arthav 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
15 YE Aaron 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
16 ZHANG Hanzhi 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
17 LEE Jayden 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 15%
18 CHEN Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 34%
19 MOROAICA Seiku 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
20 ZHENG Matt 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
21 CHOI LIAM 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
22 HSIEH Maxwell 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 11%
23 EKAMBARAM Rithik 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
24 DENG Aurik 100% 96% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
25 WU Allen 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
26 WONG Alexander 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 37% 9%
27 YOON Jacob 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
28 RAZAI Evan 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 8%
29 DENG Richard 100% 100% 98% 82% 46% 11%
30 RAMAKRISHNA Arjun 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2%
31 LI Sky 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
32 BURKHART Camden 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% - -
33 FERRING Theo 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 23% 4%
34 ELSAYED Omar 100% 98% 85% 46% 13% 1%
35 DING Orlando 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
36 LOVELL Jackson 100% 90% 60% 27% 7% 1% -
37 DAUM William 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
38 CHUNG Evan 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 11%
38 NG Jaden 100% 67% 19% 2% - -
40 YUNG Nathan 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
41 JECHA Zachary 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% -
42 WOO Slade 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
43 WU Aiden 100% 73% 26% 4% - -
44 VAN CLEVE Isaac 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1%
45 RAMOS Pious 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
46 CHEN Donovan 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
47 NGUYEN Tristan 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
48 DING Kyen 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
49 SUN Alan 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% - -
50 WHITE Marcus 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
51 WANG Chuyun 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 4%
52 RAMAKRISHNA Aditya 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
53 LAD Anish 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
54 LIU Franklin 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
55 LIU Huberry 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
56 CONCANNON Jackson 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
57 CHOI Theo 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
57 SO Cheston 100% 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
59 HELM Kevan 100% 100% 93% 64% 24% 4% -
60 BOURCIER Rowan 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% - -
61 LIU Jayden 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
62 LI Edward 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
63 PILYAVSKY Daniel 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% - -
64 ZHU Mason 100% 69% 22% 3% - -
65 CHAN Ethan 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
66 SHETTY Vikram 100% 68% 23% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.