The Cascade Clash SYC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, September 13, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHANG Lydia 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 20%
2 SOE Hayleigh 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
3 KENSICKI Phoebe 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
3 PARK Lauren 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
5 WANG Doreen 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
6 DESAI Zoya 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
7 JIANG Ziqing 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
8 ZHANG Hannah 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
9 CHUNG Katie 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
10 NICOLETTI Thea 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
11 DONG Nancy 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1%
12 LI Audrey 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
13 THOTA Akira 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 10%
14 LIN Avery 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
15 LIN Clara 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 5% -
16 AI Mirabelle 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 26% 3%
17 CHENG Audrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
18 HO Peyton 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
19 KIM Rylie 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
20 ARUNKISHORE Dakshina 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 16% 1%
21 CHEN bridgette 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 13% 1%
22 ESAKI Kei 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
23 LIU Doris-Zihan Zhou 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6% -
24 CHOI Jian 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
25 LIU Anya 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
26 KIM Ellen 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 3% -
27 NAKAZATO Olivia 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 2% -
28 ZHU Claire 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 6% -
29 PAN Samantha 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
30 FU Joy 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
31 LAM Dorris Yandor 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
32 HOLSTAD Anneliese 100% 99% 86% 46% 12% 1% -
33 KO Adeline 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11% 1%
34 SMIRNOV Victoria 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9% 1%
35 WU Gloria 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
36 ZHANG Annabelle 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
37 KIM Olivia 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
38 NAKAZATO Isabella 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 4%
39 ARCE BASURCO Juliana 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
40 DEJOY Leilah 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
41 FU Angela 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
42 ZHANG Katie Qingyun 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
43 KIM Ines 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 2% -
44 ZHANG Selene T. 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
45 CHEN Chloe 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
45 TUNG Alison 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
47 GOWDA Adisha 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
48 PENG Yuewei 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
49 CHEN Michelle 100% 93% 67% 31% 9% 1% -
50 JOESUF Thea 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 2%
51 ZHENG Joanna 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
52 HO Avery 100% 91% 51% 15% 2% - -
53 KHANAL Sarah 100% 95% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
54 CHEUNG Carabelle 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
55 SUN Zoey 100% 71% 21% 3% - - -
56 YOUN Davina 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
57 TANG Clementine 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
58 JIANG Ziqi 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
59 PENG Yuerui 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
60 WU Allison 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 13% 1%
61 SCHULTZ Emmi 100% 60% 14% 1% - - -
62 LEE Clara 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.