Motor City SYC/RCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Friday, September 19, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Elite Sportplex - Waterford Township, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SARATH Sana 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 13%
2 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
3 KATZ Emma 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
3 LI Yi Yang 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
5 POWERS Waverly 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15% 1%
6 KANIA Brigitte 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 1%
7 KAVZAN Duru 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 14%
8 KABILING Anika Von Marie 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
9 ZHANG Nikki 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
10 CHACKO Anne 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3% -
11 ZHANG Shihan 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
12 MENON Maya 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 5%
13 ESTEVES ZOE 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9% -
14 CHAM Morgan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 25%
15 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Victoria Maria 100% 93% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
15 VU Claire 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
17 YANG Maggie 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
18 HUANG Megan 100% 96% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
19 YANG Jackie 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% - -
20 LEE Sophia 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
21 LI Wanning 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
22 LI Gloria 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
23 ATA Emily 100% 90% 56% 21% 4% - -
24 ARANGO Ivanna 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% - -
25 ALETO KAVALIOY Catarina 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
25 ZHOU Coraline 100% 99% 87% 50% 12% 1% -
27 HENDERSON Lucie 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% - -
28 LIU Allison 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.