The Durkan Rooster RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Foil

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Factory 220 - Passaic, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Joanna 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 45%
2 TANG Melody Fujiao 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20%
3 FENG Grace 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
3 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72% 22%
5 LI Han (Helina) 100% 100% 100% 92% 61% 18%
6 LI Katerina 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 36% 5%
7 HARRIS Julia 100% 100% 93% 65% 27% 4%
8 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 37% 5%
9 LI Eleanor 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
10 EYER Brooke 100% 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
11 TSIMIKLIS Aphrodite 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 9%
12 MCSHERRY Ava 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
13 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
14 JIANG Chloe 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
15 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
16 VACCARO Lillian 100% 22% 1% - - -
17 DE CASTRO Kai 100% 100% 95% 68% 24% 3% -
18 MCSHERRY Kayla 100% 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
19 ROZPEDOWSKI Claire 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
20 LI Savannah 100% 100% 93% 64% 21% 2%
21 OLAWOYE Jadesola 100% 98% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
22 LIU Angel(Daying) 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
23 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
24 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
25 KAPRAN Anastasia 100% 100% 99% 84% 45% 10%
26 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya 100% 99% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
27 SHMAY Anastasia 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
28 YU Jane 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 6%
29 SFINTESCU Emma 100% 93% 53% 14% 1% -
30 BERGEL Daphne 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30% 4%
31 PAULUS Sloane E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
32 LI Joy 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18% 2%
33 ORBE-AUSTIN Nia 100% 98% 80% 38% 8% -
34 SHERLOCK Gabriella 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3% -
35 STEWART Isla 100% 72% 20% 2% - - -
36 LAZAR Carolina 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 2% -
37 COLE Sofia 100% 100% 90% 49% 12% 1% -
38 BASILE Gianna 100% 100% 89% 49% 13% 1%
39 ZHU Ella 100% 58% 15% 2% - -
40 PEVZNER Sophia 100% 98% 79% 28% 3% - -
41 ZHAO Sinuo 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
42 CHO Olivia 100% 100% 96% 69% 19% 2% -
43 SONG Sarah 100% 33% 3% - - - -
44 XIE Lillian 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
44 LIU Yinuo 100% 80% 34% 7% 1% -
46 MANGLANI Maya 100% 90% 34% 5% - -
47 ROBERTS Anastasia 100% 99% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
48 LENZ Phoebe 100% 53% 9% - - - -
49 BEKIYANTS Elizabeth 100% 34% 5% - - - -
50 BECK Liliyana 100% 33% 4% - - -
51 GOMEZ Sofia 100% 37% 6% - - - -
51 CLARK Lillian 100% 84% 29% 4% - - -
51 JAIN Dia 100% 10% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.