The Durkan Rooster RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Factory 220 - Passaic, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Tianjun - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
2 CHEN Cameron - 1% 5% 19% 37% 30% 8%
3 CHO Adrian - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
3 BRESLAV Asher - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 3%
5 YAO Ryan - - 1% 8% 28% 45% 18%
6 LAU LUCAS - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
7 THOMAS Andrew - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
8 NOOL Alexander - - 3% 14% 35% 36% 11%
9 ARMSTRONG Payson - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
10 WANG-SONG Evan - - - 3% 15% 42% 40%
11 BHANDARE Veer 1% 5% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
12 CHIANG William - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
13 CHEN Daniel 7% 25% 34% 23% 9% 2% -
14 WILLIAMS Gavin 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
15 YAO Aiden - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
16 CHEN Evan - 2% 10% 24% 33% 24% 7%
17 QI Bryan 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
18 CARPENTER Touma S. - - - 1% 12% 42% 45%
19 WANG Marcus - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
20 LAI Jayden 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
21 KIM Louie 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
22 HONG Ethen - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
23 FRIZZELL Kai - 3% 12% 29% 34% 19% 3%
24 SMITH Theo 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
25 CHEN Aiden - 1% 8% 22% 34% 27% 8%
26 LEE Ryan 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% - -
27 TANG Colin - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
28 SHAPIRO Samuel 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1%
29 NOOL Aaron 5% 20% 32% 27% 12% 3% -
30 O'BRIEN Michael 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% - -
31 ZHANG Jayden 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
32 CHEN Jayden 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8% 1%
33 GAO Ryan - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
34 KLOTS Theo 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3% -
35 LI Tyrese 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
36 ZINCHUK Yuri 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1%
37 LOPATIN Sergei 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
38 SON Isaac 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
39 DEVISETTY Sohun 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
40 KO Ethan 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
41 LAI Jaxon 3% 16% 33% 31% 13% 3% -
42 TOPRANI Valmik 6% 23% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
43 JAISING Aaditya 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
44 PARISH-MORRIS Jay - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
45 CARPENTER Taisei 14% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
46 BARTON Christian - 5% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2%
47 PHILIP Kian 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
48 ANDERSON Connor 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
49 WANG Ethan - 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 2%
50 FRANCK Hunter - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 8%
51 GORE Noah 23% 46% 25% 5% 1% - -
52 SAJJAD Syed 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
53 KESELMAN Ron 12% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
54 MATHEW Benjamin 69% 26% 4% - - - -
55 YADAV Aarav 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
56 HERIGSTAD Daniel 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.