The Durkan Rooster RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Factory 220 - Passaic, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Tianjun 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
2 CHEN Cameron 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 8%
3 CHO Adrian 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
3 BRESLAV Asher 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 23% 3%
5 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 18%
6 LAU LUCAS 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 36%
7 THOMAS Andrew 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
8 NOOL Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
9 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
10 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
11 BHANDARE Veer 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
12 CHIANG William 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
13 CHEN Daniel 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
14 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
15 YAO Aiden 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
16 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 31% 7%
17 QI Bryan 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
18 CARPENTER Touma S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
19 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
20 LAI Jayden 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
21 KIM Louie 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 4% -
22 HONG Ethen 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
23 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
24 SMITH Theo 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
25 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
26 LEE Ryan 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% - -
27 TANG Colin 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 9%
28 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
29 NOOL Aaron 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
30 O'BRIEN Michael 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
31 ZHANG Jayden 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
32 CHEN Jayden 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8% 1%
33 GAO Ryan 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
34 KLOTS Theo 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
35 LI Tyrese 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
36 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 99% 90% 62% 29% 7% 1%
37 LOPATIN Sergei 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
38 SON Isaac 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 4% -
39 DEVISETTY Sohun 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
40 KO Ethan 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
41 LAI Jaxon 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
42 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
43 JAISING Aaditya 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
44 PARISH-MORRIS Jay 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
45 CARPENTER Taisei 100% 86% 48% 15% 3% - -
46 BARTON Christian 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2%
47 PHILIP Kian 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
48 ANDERSON Connor 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
49 WANG Ethan 100% 100% 99% 85% 52% 17% 2%
50 FRANCK Hunter 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 36% 8%
51 GORE Noah 100% 77% 31% 6% 1% - -
52 SAJJAD Syed 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
53 KESELMAN Ron 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
54 MATHEW Benjamin 100% 31% 4% - - - -
55 YADAV Aarav 100% 94% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
56 HERIGSTAD Daniel 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.