The Durkan Rooster RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Factory 220 - Passaic, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIAN kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
2 SONG Enoch 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
3 CAO Joshua 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
3 CAO Aaron 100% 100% 94% 68% 22%
5 VENAFRO Tristan 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
6 SHEN Lucas 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 7%
7 XU ETHAN 100% 99% 91% 61% 21% 2%
8 HU Michael 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
9 QIAN Will 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
10 ZHANG Eric 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
11 ROPER Griffin 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
12 XIA Vincent 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
13 XU Jonathan 100% 87% 50% 14% 1%
14 TARDIFF Owen 100% 100% 94% 72% 32% 6% -
15 WU David 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 1%
16 XIE Jayden 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 19%
17 CHONG Cooper 100% 85% 43% 10% 1%
18 GUGALA Frank 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 23% 2%
19 HAN Jiaren 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 3%
20 YANG Luca 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
21 LEE Ryan 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% -
22 WU Yulen 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
23 LEONG Michael 100% 81% 40% 10% 1%
24 GENG Vincent 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 4%
25 BRADY David 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1%
26 WU Connor 100% 93% 63% 22% 3% -
27 XIE zhouhan 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
28 CHEN Keegan 100% 94% 66% 26% 4%
29 CAI Charlie 100% 95% 68% 28% 5% -
30 LEVKOVICH Milan 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
31 MACKENZIE Dylan 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% -
32 RAY William 100% 94% 66% 26% 3%
33 XU Jaden 100% 69% 24% 4% -
34 POLEBOYINA Aarav 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
35 LIN Alexander 100% 86% 48% 13% 2% - -
36 SAVIR Ethan 100% 91% 57% 17% 2%
37 FAN Oscar 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
38 AWALGAONKAR Aahan 100% 92% 58% 19% 2% -
39 CAI daniel 100% 50% 12% 1% - -
40 CAI Mark 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
41 WILSON Henry 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.