The Durkan Rooster RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Factory 220 - Passaic, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GORDON Winter 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3% -
2 MAO Faith 100% 98% 79% 38% 9% 1%
3 ZHAO Rachel 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16% 1%
3 ERATA Selena 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
5 FAYEZ Malika 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
6 CHOI Noah 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 9% 1%
7 LIOU Skylar 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
8 LEE Zerah 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
9 WONG Dorothy 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
10 VILLER Gabriella 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
11 LUK-SOLARZ Madison 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
12 SALIBA Madison 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
13 LIU sienna 100% 98% 87% 58% 26% 6% 1%
14 LEE Gloria 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
14 MISHIMA Quinn 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2% -
16 STAFFORD Thylane Sage 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 8%
17 MENG Yinuo 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 6%
18 ALVAREZ Megan 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
19 LIN Elina 100% 94% 58% 19% 3% -
20 ZHANG Grace 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
21 BIRZ Vivienne 100% 33% 4% - - -
22 BOUTSIKARIS Priya 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
23 LIAN Cailey 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 14%
24 ABDELFATAH Laila 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% -
25 CHO Angelina 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
26 TATINI Aria 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.