The Virginia Tech Open

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 4:00 PM

VT RecSports Field House - Blacksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARCELL Colby - 3% 16% 35% 32% 11% 1%
2 PATRICK Timothy M. - - - 2% 23% 74%
3 LIN Felix - - 1% 6% 27% 45% 22%
3 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava - 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 4%
5 BERNARD Kathryn - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
6 SEMP Brannon A. - - 1% 10% 31% 39% 18%
7 EYSTER Edison - 1% 12% 38% 42% 6%
8 XIE Eric - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
9 LAUDO Joseph - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
10 STEWART Brian 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% -
11 ELIAN David - - 4% 19% 40% 30% 7%
12 RACHAPROLU Divyagnyaan Siddartha - 6% 31% 43% 17% 2% -
13 PIENKOWSKI Jakub 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
14 HAMILTON Jacob - 3% 28% 49% 18% 1%
15 HOWERTON Beckett 14% 49% 30% 6% - -
16 SHELLY Emery 1% 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
17 BAIN Tiernan 2% 19% 42% 30% 7% -
18 CRESSWELL Lochlann - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
19 GLOGOWSKI Konrad - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
20 SILK Ryan 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
21 SHAGHAGHI Sahand 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
22 LESTYAN Cat 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
23 ZHOU Deborah 30% 50% 17% 3% - - -
24 FARLEY Alexander - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 6%
25 CLICK Joe 54% 37% 8% 1% - -
26 ZHANG Yujie 3% 27% 42% 23% 5% - -
27 CLEMMONS William 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.