The Virginia Tech Open

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 4:00 PM

VT RecSports Field House - Blacksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARCELL Colby 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
2 PATRICK Timothy M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
3 LIN Felix 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
3 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 4%
5 BERNARD Kathryn 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
6 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 18%
7 EYSTER Edison 100% 100% 99% 86% 48% 6%
8 XIE Eric 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
9 LAUDO Joseph 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
10 STEWART Brian 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% -
11 ELIAN David 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 7%
12 RACHAPROLU Divyagnyaan Siddartha 100% 100% 94% 62% 19% 3% -
13 PIENKOWSKI Jakub 100% 99% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
14 HAMILTON Jacob 100% 100% 97% 69% 20% 1%
15 HOWERTON Beckett 100% 86% 36% 6% - -
16 SHELLY Emery 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
17 BAIN Tiernan 100% 98% 79% 37% 7% -
18 CRESSWELL Lochlann 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
19 GLOGOWSKI Konrad 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
20 SILK Ryan 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -
21 SHAGHAGHI Sahand 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
22 LESTYAN Cat 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
23 ZHOU Deborah 100% 70% 20% 3% - - -
24 FARLEY Alexander 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 6%
25 CLICK Joe 100% 46% 8% 1% - -
26 ZHANG Yujie 100% 97% 70% 29% 6% 1% -
27 CLEMMONS William 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.