Leon Auriol Open

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ELSAYED Ahmed - - - - - 5% 95%
2 HSU Shiou Tian - 1% 7% 27% 43% 21% 2%
3 WESTPHAL David R. - - - - 8% 45% 47%
3 HAMZA Tudor - - - 1% 11% 53% 35%
5 LARSEN Samuel F. - - - - 3% 25% 72%
6 MALAHE Michael - - - 6% 25% 43% 25%
7 MATHES Caleb - - 2% 15% 41% 40% 1%
8 SPROWLES Cameron D. - - - 3% 16% 42% 38%
9 WU Alistair - - 2% 14% 37% 36% 11%
10 DONDISCH Ilan - 1% 11% 35% 36% 14% 2%
11 LUEDECKE Myles A. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
12 DU SHUNYU K. - - 1% 9% 33% 43% 14%
13 CARLSON Jesse - - 3% 16% 40% 36% 5%
14 KROGH Daniel (Dan) M. - - - 2% 13% 42% 44%
15 WEISE Eli S. - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 22%
16 BREILING Nikki 1% 7% 27% 40% 21% 4% -
17 DESSAUER Tobyn M. - - 3% 16% 39% 33% 9%
18 SUVOROV Yuly - - 5% 28% 44% 20% 3%
19 WANG Aaron 1% 11% 43% 34% 10% 1% -
20 SHI William - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
21 LI Timothy 12% 40% 34% 11% 1% -
22 KILUK Andrew - - 1% 7% 29% 43% 20%
23 TSAI Oscar - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 14%
24 ROBERTS Peter - 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3%
25 VARNEY John R. - 1% 9% 32% 42% 16%
26 CRANOR Erich L. - - 2% 16% 44% 38%
27 DEMPSEY Connor - - 1% 12% 36% 38% 13%
28 MYRAH Devin 7% 30% 41% 18% 3% - -
29 GOWDA Suyog 6% 35% 41% 16% 3% - -
30 KIM Teo 5% 25% 40% 23% 5% - -
31 PARKEY Jack O. - - 2% 14% 37% 39% 8%
31 LEWIS Michael 2% 17% 39% 32% 10% 1% -
33 RAMIREZ Hunter 44% 41% 13% 2% < 1% - -
34 OLSON Kevin - 5% 23% 40% 26% 5% -
35 BRACCO Cameron 44% 41% 13% 2% - -
36 REED David - 3% 17% 39% 32% 9% 1%
37 ST.CLAIRE-KING Tenzin - 7% 29% 41% 20% 2% -
38 DAN Rex - 4% 20% 41% 30% 5% -
39 WAI Andreas 1% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2% -
40 TOYOFUKU Ethan - 2% 17% 41% 31% 9% 1%
41 TANG Zheng 4% 30% 41% 20% 4% - -
42 DUNNING Kurt R. 9% 39% 37% 13% 2% - -
43 BACON Corban 44% 45% 11% 1% - - -
44 MONTGOMERY Elliot 2% 20% 41% 29% 7% - -
45 SPERANZA John 9% 36% 37% 15% 2% - -
46 JONES Colby 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
47 HARRISKING Benjamin 13% 39% 35% 12% 2% - -
48 BREILING Sebastian 46% 40% 12% 1% - - -
49 KRYLTSOV Greg 2% 14% 36% 34% 12% 1%
50 WEGENER Soren 1% 12% 35% 36% 14% 2%
51 PAGE Aaron M. - < 1% 3% 19% 39% 31% 8%
52 SILKEY Jason 10% 40% 36% 12% 2% - -
52 BIROAN Chaz 4% 29% 43% 20% 4% - -
54 PENG Gregory - 1% 9% 31% 39% 17% 2%
55 KLEIN Johannes 2% 18% 39% 31% 9% 1% -
56 STOCK Jordan - 2% 15% 38% 35% 9% -
57 MEHROTRA Dhruv 21% 56% 20% 2% - - -
58 GILMORE Nik 26% 50% 21% 3% - - -
59 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 67% 29% 4% - - - -
59 CASONI Calder 66% 29% 4% - - - -
61 RAMIREZ Tristan 60% 35% 4% - - - -
62 DAN Chuntao 36% 44% 18% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.