Leon Auriol Open

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ELSAYED Ahmed 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95%
2 HSU Shiou Tian 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22% 2%
3 WESTPHAL David R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 47%
3 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 35%
5 LARSEN Samuel F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
6 MALAHE Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 25%
7 MATHES Caleb 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41% 1%
8 SPROWLES Cameron D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
9 WU Alistair 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 11%
10 DONDISCH Ilan 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 16% 2%
11 LUEDECKE Myles A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 6%
12 DU SHUNYU K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 14%
13 CARLSON Jesse 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 5%
14 KROGH Daniel (Dan) M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
15 WEISE Eli S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
16 BREILING Nikki 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 4% -
17 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
18 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 23% 3%
19 WANG Aaron 100% 99% 89% 46% 11% 1% -
20 SHI William 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
21 LI Timothy 100% 88% 47% 13% 1% -
22 KILUK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
23 TSAI Oscar 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
24 ROBERTS Peter 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
25 VARNEY John R. 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
26 CRANOR Erich L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
27 DEMPSEY Connor 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 13%
28 MYRAH Devin 100% 93% 63% 22% 3% - -
29 GOWDA Suyog 100% 94% 59% 18% 3% - -
30 KIM Teo 100% 95% 70% 29% 6% - -
31 PARKEY Jack O. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 8%
31 LEWIS Michael 100% 98% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
33 RAMIREZ Hunter 100% 56% 15% 2% < 1% - -
34 OLSON Kevin 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 5% -
35 BRACCO Cameron 100% 56% 14% 2% - -
36 REED David 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 10% 1%
37 ST.CLAIRE-KING Tenzin 100% 100% 92% 63% 22% 2% -
38 DAN Rex 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 5% -
39 WAI Andreas 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
40 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 100% 98% 81% 41% 10% 1%
41 TANG Zheng 100% 96% 65% 24% 4% - -
42 DUNNING Kurt R. 100% 91% 52% 15% 2% - -
43 BACON Corban 100% 56% 12% 1% - - -
44 MONTGOMERY Elliot 100% 98% 78% 37% 8% - -
45 SPERANZA John 100% 91% 55% 18% 3% - -
46 JONES Colby 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
47 HARRISKING Benjamin 100% 87% 48% 13% 2% - -
48 BREILING Sebastian 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
49 KRYLTSOV Greg 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 1%
50 WEGENER Soren 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2%
51 PAGE Aaron M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 8%
52 SILKEY Jason 100% 90% 50% 14% 2% - -
52 BIROAN Chaz 100% 96% 67% 25% 4% - -
54 PENG Gregory 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 19% 2%
55 KLEIN Johannes 100% 98% 80% 41% 10% 1% -
56 STOCK Jordan 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 10% -
57 MEHROTRA Dhruv 100% 79% 23% 3% - - -
58 GILMORE Nik 100% 74% 24% 4% - - -
59 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 100% 33% 4% - - - -
59 CASONI Calder 100% 34% 5% - - - -
61 RAMIREZ Tristan 100% 40% 4% - - - -
62 DAN Chuntao 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.