Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Friday, September 26, 2025 at 8:30 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LIU Brinley - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
2 ERATA Selena 2% 18% 41% 31% 8%
3 AINSWORTH Esme - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
3 MU Jasmine 1% 9% 34% 41% 15%
5 GORDON Winter 3% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1%
6 CHOI Noah 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
7 VILLER Gabriella 5% 28% 39% 22% 5% -
8 BIRZ Vivi 63% 31% 5% - -
9 STAFFORD Thylane - 4% 22% 44% 30%
10 LEE Zerah 6% 36% 40% 16% 2%
11 MENG Yinuo - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
12 YOON Michelle 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
13 ALVAREZ Megan 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
14 FARIAS Francesca 2% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
15 BOUTSIKARIS Priya 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
16 MASKIN Anna < 1% 2% 14% 35% 36% 11%
17 ABDELFATAH Laila 48% 39% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.