Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Friday, September 26, 2025 at 8:30 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
2 ERATA Selena 100% 98% 80% 39% 8%
3 AINSWORTH Esme 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
3 MU Jasmine 100% 99% 90% 56% 15%
5 GORDON Winter 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
6 CHOI Noah 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
7 VILLER Gabriella 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% -
8 BIRZ Vivi 100% 37% 6% - -
9 STAFFORD Thylane 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
10 LEE Zerah 100% 94% 58% 18% 2%
11 MENG Yinuo 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
12 YOON Michelle 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
13 ALVAREZ Megan 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
14 FARIAS Francesca 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 1%
15 BOUTSIKARIS Priya 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
16 MASKIN Anna 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
17 ABDELFATAH Laila 100% 52% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.