Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Junior Women's Saber

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SUVOROVA Anna - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
2 MAK Kaitlin - - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
3 CHAVAN Arya - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
3 SPEARS Mya B - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
5 ATTIA Jasmine - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
6 JEONG Katie - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
7 XU Elaine - 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
8 GENTILE Vittoria - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
9 MCKEE Brynnley - - - - 2% 19% 80%
10 LEOU Korina - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 12%
11 BUSH Bethany - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
12 FOSS Persephone - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
13 ONG Lauren - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
14 MYAT Chloe - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
15 ZONG Eliane 3% 21% 36% 27% 11% 2% -
16 KWON Ava 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
17 HUANG Pierra - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
18 HU Anna - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
19 NEDOPAKA Kateryna - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
20 HUANG Rachael - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
21 GONG Joy - - 2% 10% 31% 40% 17%
22 MAK Jayden - 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
23 TA-ZHOU Emma - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
24 VINOKUR Anita - - 5% 19% 36% 31% 10%
25 BORGUETA Madison 1% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
25 BARROSO Isabela - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
27 GUVEN Coco - - - 5% 21% 44% 30%
28 VATS Ishita 2% 12% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
29 CHANG Norah 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 4%
30 FUNG Iris - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
31 CASTELO Soleil - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
32 STADNIK Emilia - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
33 KIM Audrey 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
34 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
35 ZHANG Ashley - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
36 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 5%
37 PARK Haylie - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
38 LEE Grace 1% 11% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
39 MCMAHON Kylin S. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
40 PRESANTH Nandana - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
41 NG Sophia - 6% 24% 39% 26% 6%
42 MERMEGAS Olivia 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3%
43 NIU Jessica - 3% 18% 36% 30% 10% 1%
44 REN Katherine - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
45 PASUPULETI Laya - 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
46 DUTA Lyra - 3% 16% 36% 32% 12% 1%
47 TASSONE Charlie 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
48 NANDA Maanika - 6% 25% 36% 25% 8% 1%
49 CAI Xinyi - 1% 8% 29% 42% 21%
50 KANG Soeun 2% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1%
51 DESAUTELS Alexandra 4% 26% 40% 24% 6% 1%
52 VATSA Shradha 63% 31% 5% - - -
53 BERRIOS Catalina - 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
54 NAYAK Esha - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
55 JOHN Sophia 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
56 HO Sophia 1% 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
57 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 1% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
58 CHIANG Melissa - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
59 ZHANG Erica 1% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
60 SMITH Genevieve 58% 35% 7% 1% - -
61 VISWANATHAN Nishka 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
62 IANNUZZI Lucy - 2% 10% 29% 38% 20% 1%
63 BAINS Nandini 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
64 AKULA Roszlynn 1% 14% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
65 INSINGA Ava - 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
65 EJIOGU Adaugo 1% 23% 39% 27% 9% 1% -
67 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 28% 44% 23% 5% 1% - -
68 WONG Charlene 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
69 KHOST Maeve 1% 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
70 JAJRA Avni 55% 35% 8% 1% - - -
71 CHOWDHERY Myra - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
72 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 11% 43% 33% 11% 2% - -
73 HARRISON Allie 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
74 MURPHY Jessica 11% 43% 34% 11% 1% -
75 TA-ZHOU Sophia 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
76 MUKHERJEE Moupriya 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
76 GOODWIN Julia 81% 18% 1% - - - -
78 ROBERTSON Szilvia 56% 36% 7% 1% - - -
78 LAU Teagan 83% 16% 1% - - - -
80 PATEL Sia 87% 13% 1% - - - -
81 UPBIN Olivia 97% 3% - - - - -
82 CHOUDHURY Ritisha 89% 10% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.