Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Junior Women's Saber

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SUVOROVA Anna 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
2 MAK Kaitlin 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
3 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
3 SPEARS Mya B 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
5 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
6 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
7 XU Elaine 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
8 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2%
9 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
10 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
11 BUSH Bethany 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
12 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% 1%
13 ONG Lauren 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
14 MYAT Chloe 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
15 ZONG Eliane 100% 97% 76% 40% 13% 2% -
16 KWON Ava 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
17 HUANG Pierra 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
18 HU Anna 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
19 NEDOPAKA Kateryna 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
20 HUANG Rachael 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
21 GONG Joy 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
22 MAK Jayden 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
23 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
24 VINOKUR Anita 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
25 BORGUETA Madison 100% 99% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
25 BARROSO Isabela 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
27 GUVEN Coco 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
28 VATS Ishita 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
29 CHANG Norah 100% 99% 92% 63% 24% 4%
30 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
31 CASTELO Soleil 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
32 STADNIK Emilia 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
33 KIM Audrey 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6% -
34 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra 100% 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
35 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
36 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 5%
37 PARK Haylie 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
38 LEE Grace 100% 99% 89% 55% 20% 3% -
39 MCMAHON Kylin S. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 3%
40 PRESANTH Nandana 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
41 NG Sophia 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6%
42 MERMEGAS Olivia 100% 99% 91% 60% 21% 3%
43 NIU Jessica 100% 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
44 REN Katherine 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 2%
45 PASUPULETI Laya 100% 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
46 DUTA Lyra 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
47 TASSONE Charlie 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
48 NANDA Maanika 100% 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
49 CAI Xinyi 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
50 KANG Soeun 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 1%
51 DESAUTELS Alexandra 100% 96% 70% 30% 7% 1%
52 VATSA Shradha 100% 37% 6% - - -
53 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
54 NAYAK Esha 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
55 JOHN Sophia 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
56 HO Sophia 100% 99% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
57 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 99% 87% 53% 20% 4% -
58 CHIANG Melissa 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 4%
59 ZHANG Erica 100% 99% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
60 SMITH Genevieve 100% 42% 7% 1% - -
61 VISWANATHAN Nishka 100% 99% 88% 56% 22% 4% -
62 IANNUZZI Lucy 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 21% 1%
63 BAINS Nandini 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
64 AKULA Roszlynn 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
65 INSINGA Ava 100% 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
65 EJIOGU Adaugo 100% 99% 76% 37% 10% 1% -
67 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 72% 28% 6% 1% - -
68 WONG Charlene 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
69 KHOST Maeve 100% 99% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
70 JAJRA Avni 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
71 CHOWDHERY Myra 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 13% 2%
72 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 89% 46% 12% 2% - -
73 HARRISON Allie 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
74 MURPHY Jessica 100% 89% 47% 12% 2% -
75 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
76 MUKHERJEE Moupriya 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
76 GOODWIN Julia 100% 19% 2% - - - -
78 ROBERTSON Szilvia 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
78 LAU Teagan 100% 17% 1% - - - -
80 PATEL Sia 100% 13% 1% - - - -
81 UPBIN Olivia 100% 3% - - - - -
82 CHOUDHURY Ritisha 100% 11% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.