Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUO Alexander - - - 2% 22% 76%
2 CHEN Evan - - - 4% 19% 41% 35%
3 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
3 CHIANG William - - 2% 9% 26% 39% 24%
5 ARMSTRONG Payson - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
6 CHEN Aiden - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
7 KO Ethan 1% 7% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
8 FANG Charlie - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
9 NOOL Aaron - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
10 JIN Noah - 2% 10% 24% 33% 24% 7%
11 SCHLUBACH Jasper - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
12 ZHENG Jasper - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
13 SON Isaac 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
14 GUJJA Rishabh - - 2% 14% 40% 39% 5%
15 DAI Jason - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 6%
16 IVANOV Andrew 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
17 TANG Luke - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 7%
18 HOREMIOTIS Bennett - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
19 ZHANG Jacob 1% 7% 21% 31% 26% 12% 2%
20 MASKIN Mikhail - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
21 JEONG Joseph - - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
22 YOU Emmanuel 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
23 LEE Asher 2% 10% 26% 32% 22% 7% 1%
24 GREGORY Milo 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
25 CHEN Daniel - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
26 LI Jayden 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
27 LAI Jayden - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
28 CHEN Regis 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
28 JAISING Kian 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
30 LAW Benjamin 2% 9% 24% 32% 23% 9% 1%
31 YIN Xiangheng 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% -
32 LITVINOVSKY Benjamin 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
33 YU MAXIMILIAN 6% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
34 DUDDA Kavin 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
35 KIM Brendan 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
36 MAURAIS JP - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
37 LUO Sebastian - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
38 NG Remy 2% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
39 NOVAK Luke - 4% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
40 MILLER Brodrick 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
41 LAI Jaxon 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
42 ZHANG Renkui 4% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
43 LEE Taeryum 4% 20% 36% 30% 10% 1%
44 GORE Noah 8% 30% 38% 19% 4% - -
45 KOVAC Blake 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
46 ZHANG Leo 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
47 YANTZ Stosh 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% -
48 HWANG Chase 2% 12% 27% 31% 20% 7% 1%
49 KWON Ryan 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
50 ZHU David 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% -
51 LI Sean - 2% 10% 26% 35% 23% 5%
52 LIU FREDERICK - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
53 TANG Jayce 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
54 YADAV Aarav 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
55 AU Wesley 20% 40% 28% 10% 2% - -
56 CARPENTER Taisei 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
57 BEZRODNOV Artemi 1% 8% 26% 38% 22% 5% -
58 FLANAGAN Ronan 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
59 LEE Jack 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%
60 YAN Milan 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
61 CHARNA Luca 23% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
62 GOOD Adam 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
63 HWANG Christopher 17% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
64 YUAN Leonardo 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
65 YANTZ Rhys 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
66 SON Joshua 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
68 HERIGSTAD Daniel 5% 19% 32% 28% 14% 3% -
69 ZHU Kingsley 4% 16% 30% 29% 16% 4% 1%
70 EICHELBERGER Luke - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
71 BHATT Shivam 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
72 SALA John 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
73 LIM Shane 6% 22% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
74 CAVALLARO Xavier 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.