The Virginia Tech Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 9:00 AM

VT RecSports Field House - Blacksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ALI Farhan - 1% 5% 20% 39% 31% 5%
2 GLOGOWSKI Konrad - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
3 NOLAN Tyler - 3% 20% 38% 29% 8% 1%
3 ALEXANDER Jacksen - 1% 7% 31% 51% 11% -
5 O'HARA Keegan J. - - - - - 13% 87%
6 DIMMETT David C. - - 1% 7% 26% 41% 25%
7 SO Lorenzo - 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
7 BENUCCI Vincent 4% 19% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
9 WATSON Raymond - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
10 ISAACSON Bjorn - - - 2% 22% 67% 8%
11 BRENNAN Quinlan - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
12 PETERS Nathan M. - - - - 5% 30% 64%
13 BOZARTH Alex - 5% 22% 37% 27% 7% -
14 BUZINKAI Brennan - - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
15 RAWSON Nicholas - 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 4%
16 SHELLY Emery - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
17 DELONG Joshua - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
17 KEIM Spencer - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 3%
19 DELONG Mike 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
20 PALPANDIAN Ilanchezhian 3% 19% 41% 30% 6% - -
21 CHAN Ian 21% 45% 27% 6% - - -
22 KELLEY Hayden - 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
23 SOUTHWORTH Connor 10% 50% 32% 8% 1% - -
24 BONILHA-VAN'T HOF Rafael - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
25 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
26 BEDWORTH Paige 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
27 HALE Bradley 3% 18% 40% 32% 7% - -
28 SEATON Jake 3% 36% 41% 17% 3% - -
29 CAMPBELL Paul 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
30 IYER Matthias 6% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
31 LUNDEN Espen 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
32 SEMP Brannon A. 16% 41% 31% 10% 1% - -
33 SMITHSON Matthew 72% 25% 3% - - - -
34 BARRETT John 28% 45% 23% 4% - - -
34 NALLY Madison 64% 31% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.