The Virginia Tech Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 9:00 AM

VT RecSports Field House - Blacksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ALI Farhan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 6%
2 GLOGOWSKI Konrad 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
3 NOLAN Tyler 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
3 ALEXANDER Jacksen 100% 100% 99% 93% 62% 11% -
5 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 87%
6 DIMMETT David C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
7 SO Lorenzo 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
7 BENUCCI Vincent 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
9 WATSON Raymond 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
10 ISAACSON Bjorn 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75% 8%
11 BRENNAN Quinlan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
12 PETERS Nathan M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
13 BOZARTH Alex 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7% -
14 BUZINKAI Brennan 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
15 RAWSON Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
16 SHELLY Emery 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
17 DELONG Joshua 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 12% 1%
17 KEIM Spencer 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
19 DELONG Mike 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
20 PALPANDIAN Ilanchezhian 100% 97% 78% 36% 6% - -
21 CHAN Ian 100% 79% 34% 7% - - -
22 KELLEY Hayden 100% 100% 92% 60% 23% 4% -
23 SOUTHWORTH Connor 100% 90% 41% 9% 1% - -
24 BONILHA-VAN'T HOF Rafael 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 3%
25 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
26 BEDWORTH Paige 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
27 HALE Bradley 100% 97% 80% 39% 7% - -
28 SEATON Jake 100% 97% 61% 20% 3% - -
29 CAMPBELL Paul 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
30 IYER Matthias 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
31 LUNDEN Espen 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
32 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 84% 42% 11% 1% - -
33 SMITHSON Matthew 100% 28% 3% - - - -
34 BARRETT John 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
34 NALLY Madison 100% 36% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.