AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #1

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SAMOYLOV Daniel 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
2 LIN Logan 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
3 HUA Nolan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
3 BOROVIKOV Sasha 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33% 3%
5 LEUNG Joon 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% < 1%
6 CHAN Nathan 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 3%
7 BENNETTE Graham 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
8 DIRKSEN Jamie 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
9 REN Mark 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 55% 17%
10 YE Andrew 100% 96% 73% 33% 6% < 1% -
11 GACIOCH Calvin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 41%
12 ABEYSINGHE Sayul 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
13 KATZEL Charles 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19% 1%
14 YI Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
15 AKKARA Skyler 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
16 SALIM Ethan 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
17 MATUSOW Brandon 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
18 KAZEMI Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38% 1%
19 SZETO Jonathan 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
20 LIM Sejun 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% - -
21 SINGH Aaral 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
22 WANG Aaron 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
23 WANG Franklin 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
24 LIN Conner 100% 92% 65% 29% 6% -
25 NISHIOKA Hiro 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
26 LEE Cooper 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
27 GIRIRAJ Aditya 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
28 POLIAKOV Timur 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
29 JAMSHIDI Hugo 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
30 JIA Aiden 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
31 WONG Chun Yan 100% 86% 48% 16% 3% - -
32 KAPLAN David 100% 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
33 YOON Jasper 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
34 JAMALI Parsa 100% 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.