AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #1

Cadet Mixed Épée

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KROTZ Nicolas - 5% 23% 45% 26%
2 LIU Daniel - 3% 17% 37% 33% 9%
3 LEUNG Dylan - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
3 OR Anson 10% 36% 36% 15% 3% -
5 REYES Landon - 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
6 LIN Daniel 1% 8% 28% 40% 22% 2%
7 LIU Xuyao 3% 21% 39% 29% 8%
8 FUNG SCOTT 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
9 ABRAHAM Aaron 3% 19% 38% 31% 9% -
10 WONG Vansen - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
11 ESTOQUE Marc 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
12 BAEK Samuel - 1% 13% 36% 37% 13%
13 VYAS Arjun 36% 42% 18% 4% - -
14 WLOKA Erik 6% 31% 44% 17% 2%
15 ERISMAN Gabriella 3% 14% 30% 32% 18% 4%
16 LYSENKO Timofei 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
17 AGARWAL Keya 18% 45% 30% 7% -
18 CHIN NAKAZONO Justin 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
19 GE Austin 1% 17% 39% 31% 10% 1%
20 LOUIE Kyle 42% 42% 14% 2% - -
21 XIE Ethan 1% 10% 34% 39% 15% 2%
22 YANG Audrey 2% 32% 45% 19% 2%
23 THOMAS John 25% 44% 24% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.