AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #1

Cadet Mixed Épée

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KROTZ Nicolas 100% 100% 95% 72% 26%
2 LIU Daniel 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 9%
3 LEUNG Dylan 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
3 OR Anson 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% -
5 REYES Landon 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
6 LIN Daniel 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 2%
7 LIU Xuyao 100% 97% 76% 37% 8%
8 FUNG SCOTT 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
9 ABRAHAM Aaron 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% -
10 WONG Vansen 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
11 ESTOQUE Marc 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
12 BAEK Samuel 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 13%
13 VYAS Arjun 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
14 WLOKA Erik 100% 94% 63% 19% 2%
15 ERISMAN Gabriella 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
16 LYSENKO Timofei 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3%
17 AGARWAL Keya 100% 82% 37% 7% -
18 CHIN NAKAZONO Justin 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
19 GE Austin 100% 99% 82% 43% 12% 1%
20 LOUIE Kyle 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
21 XIE Ethan 100% 99% 89% 56% 17% 2%
22 YANG Audrey 100% 98% 66% 20% 2%
23 THOMAS John 100% 75% 30% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.