Doug Griswold Memorial Open - Foil/Epee & Vet Foil/Epee

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Apex Fencing Academy - Apex, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RUSSELL James - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
2 KERKHOF Peter L. - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
3 CHEN Wesley - - - < 1% 5% 30% 65%
3 CARO Seph 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% -
5 ZHU Aaron - 1% 11% 34% 42% 12%
6 JONES Jackson - 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 3%
7 DONNELLY Enzo - 2% 11% 29% 37% 19% 2%
8 ROBERTS Phoenix 1% 8% 28% 40% 20% 3%
9 HAN Sam 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
10 FORT David 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
11 STEPANIAN George 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
12 MALONE Jacob - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
13 UNZHAKOV Konstantin 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
14 CHEN Max 2% 11% 28% 34% 21% 5%
15 SMITH Herman E. 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
16 PERI Mourya 45% 40% 13% 2% - -
17 KARNAVAS William 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5%
18 RUSSELL Tallis 5% 24% 40% 25% 6% -
19 PRABHU Srinish 30% 44% 21% 4% - -
20 VERGARA Jace Riley 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
21 LANIER Cody 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
22 LEWIS Owen 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
23 GAYLE Fletcher 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
24 LU James 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
25 CARCATERRA Theodore 18% 42% 31% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.