Doug Griswold Memorial Open - Foil/Epee & Vet Foil/Epee

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Apex Fencing Academy - Apex, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RUSSELL James 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
2 KERKHOF Peter L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
3 CHEN Wesley 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 CARO Seph 100% 88% 54% 21% 4% -
5 ZHU Aaron 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 12%
6 JONES Jackson 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 24% 3%
7 DONNELLY Enzo 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 2%
8 ROBERTS Phoenix 100% 99% 92% 63% 23% 3%
9 HAN Sam 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
10 FORT David 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
11 STEPANIAN George 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
12 MALONE Jacob 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
13 UNZHAKOV Konstantin 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
14 CHEN Max 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
15 SMITH Herman E. 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
16 PERI Mourya 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
17 KARNAVAS William 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5%
18 RUSSELL Tallis 100% 95% 72% 31% 6% -
19 PRABHU Srinish 100% 70% 26% 5% - -
20 VERGARA Jace Riley 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
21 LANIER Cody 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
22 LEWIS Owen 100% 96% 73% 37% 10% 1%
23 GAYLE Fletcher 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
24 LU James 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
25 CARCATERRA Theodore 100% 82% 40% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.