October NAC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TSE Aiden J - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
2 CHON Collin - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
3 MATTOO Deven - - 1% 8% 27% 40% 23%
3 KANG Evan R. - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 22%
5 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - - 1% 10% 36% 52%
6 KOVALEV Daniil N. - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
6 VAID Luke - - - 4% 18% 42% 37%
8 CHUNG Connor - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 23%
9 NG Jonathan - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
10 PASTORE LIU Vince - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
11 GONZALEZ Jake - - 1% 6% 25% 44% 24%
12 AGARWAAL Yohan - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 3%
13 JIN Liangxuan - - - 1% 10% 39% 49%
14 IM Tyler - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
15 LI Howard - - - 3% 30% 67%
16 LIN Maxim - - 4% 25% 50% 20%
17 HUANG Alex F. - - - 6% 33% 60%
18 WANG Justin - - 5% 27% 53% 14%
19 NGO Maximus - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
20 OH Aster - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
21 GREMILLION Obadiah - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
22 JOO Jeein - - - 1% 12% 43% 44%
23 ZHANG Kaixuan - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 7%
24 PARK Minjun - - 2% 11% 33% 40% 15%
25 LEE Andrew - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
26 SANGSTER Arden - 5% 22% 39% 28% 5%
27 WONG Lucas - - 5% 23% 44% 27%
28 WANG Samuel - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 25%
29 ZHAO Lucas - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 26%
29 BOLLU Viren 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
31 KOVACHEV Martin 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
32 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) - - 1% 11% 34% 39% 15%
33 MEHAN Nicholas - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 16%
33 KIM Kendrick - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 32%
35 LEE San - - 1% 10% 41% 47%
36 PATEL Rayn - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
36 PINTO Marcus - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
38 LIU Kevin - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
39 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
40 WONG David - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
41 CARRINGTON IV William T. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
42 SALMAN Hamzah 1% 6% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
43 BIAN Hongyu - 1% 7% 27% 44% 21%
44 WAXLER Ryan 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
45 LUC Cedric 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
46 TANI Tino - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
46 HWANG Jayden - - 1% 6% 25% 44% 24%
48 CAI Jeff - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
49 LUCAS William - 5% 26% 40% 23% 5% -
50 KIM ELIJAH - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
51 CHAMBERS Miles - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
52 WANG Max - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
53 LI Ayden - 4% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
54 CAO Oliver - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 10%
55 LIN Philip T. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 23% 5%
56 KANG Matthew - 2% 16% 42% 34% 6%
57 YOOK Isaac - 2% 20% 44% 30% 4%
58 LI Yidong A. 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
59 WEI Rian - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
60 LIU Victor 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
61 ANAND Rishab 1% 6% 19% 33% 29% 11% 1%
62 STURGEON Cole - 2% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
63 DAI Zihou 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
64 GREENSTEIN Viktor 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
65 WANG Daniel - - - 4% 19% 45% 31%
66 KITSON Chase - 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
67 MINASIAN Mason - 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
68 MUNGUIA Nathan - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
69 ZHAO Royce - 1% 9% 30% 38% 20% 3%
69 KIM seoha - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 32%
71 ANDRES Michael - - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
72 ZHOU William 1% 6% 25% 39% 25% 4%
73 PARK Inwoo 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
74 LIN Grant - 5% 24% 40% 26% 5%
75 ONG Dylan 1% 16% 38% 33% 11% 1%
76 GONG Alex - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
77 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. - - - 5% 23% 43% 28%
78 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4%
79 TURNER Benjamin 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
80 LUAN Mark 1% 8% 25% 34% 24% 7% 1%
81 SRIVATS Vedh - 4% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
82 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
83 SADHU Neiyam - 1% 10% 27% 36% 22% 5%
84 SANCHEZ Jacob - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
85 LEE Brian - 1% 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
86 SASSI Ilyas - 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
87 MEYERSON Jacob - - 2% 12% 34% 40% 13%
88 CHAN Henry 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 7% 1%
89 WANG Edward 12% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
90 YANG Harvey 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
91 EKAMBARAM Nikhil 2% 17% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
92 KIM Ethan - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
93 WANG Tiger 2% 20% 45% 28% 6% -
94 BIVIJI Ali - 3% 19% 40% 31% 7%
95 SUN Andy 9% 32% 39% 18% 2% -
96 SO Preston - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 30%
97 AO Christopher - 4% 24% 40% 25% 6% 1%
98 LIU Yijin 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
99 YANG Phillip - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
100 PORTER Dupree - 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2%
100 BURKE Sam - 4% 22% 40% 26% 7% 1%
102 BROENING-CHAI Jonas - 5% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
103 LIU Aaron 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
104 HOLZ Lucas - 1% 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
105 WANG ANDREW CHANG - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
106 BEKDJANOV Arthur 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
107 SAGE Nikolai 6% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
107 AROUNA Ilan 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
109 SU Kingston 2% 16% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
110 GONG Gavin - 4% 16% 33% 31% 13% 2%
111 QIN toby 2% 17% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
112 FENG Brendan 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
113 FOSTY Jasper 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
114 MCDONALD Finn 1% 13% 36% 35% 13% 1%
115 HENDERSON Lucas - 5% 29% 46% 18% 2%
116 LI Coby 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
117 WONG Max - 3% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
118 RINALDI Savio - 5% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1%
119 CRAWFORD William 3% 25% 39% 24% 8% 1% -
120 PEREIRA Beckham 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
121 LIU Ethan 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 3% -
122 ZWAKA Jonas 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
122 LEE William Nigel 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
124 LIU Daniel 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
125 LAMTAN Christoffer 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
126 LUC Linkin 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
127 FANG Eason 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1%
128 KIM Enoch 64% 32% 4% - - -
129 LEVIN Jacob 6% 26% 40% 24% 4% -
130 YAO Zachary 31% 52% 16% 2% - -
131 BARENBOYM Michael 2% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
132 KAVZAN Toprak 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
133 BALU Aedan 2% 18% 39% 31% 10% 1% -
134 WANG Theodore 17% 37% 31% 13% 2% - -
135 CAO Donald - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 5%
136 LEE Nathan Uju 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
137 TSAO Alister 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
138 NAMBIAR Navin 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
139 HO Anson 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
140 RAJMOHAN Arya 7% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
141 KIARA Kinoti 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
142 CHEN Cooper 2% 20% 40% 29% 8% 1%
143 LIU Leyi 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
144 KHOTLINE Daniel 6% 25% 39% 24% 6% -
145 IYER Neil 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% -
146 WANG Zixin - 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
147 JOUFFLINEAU Yohann 5% 30% 39% 21% 5% 1% -
147 CRICOL Damian - - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
149 KULKARNI Shreyas 30% 47% 19% 3% - - -
150 SUN Eon 46% 39% 12% 2% - - -
150 MATTOO Dhruv 10% 39% 35% 13% 2% - -
152 SOULES-ONO Makoa 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
153 ALAVE Kyle 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
153 KOZLOFF Wyatt 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
155 SUN Andrew - 3% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
156 WONG Reagan 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
157 BOSITA Brennan 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
158 PARKILA Lukas - 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
158 PAUL Jimmy 14% 38% 32% 13% 3% - -
160 SONG Aidan 2% 26% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
161 CIEMINS Henry - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
162 BAI Evan - 4% 19% 36% 30% 9% 1%
162 ROSALES Vincent 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
164 LIU ERIC 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
165 BERKOWITZ Gavin 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
166 BADMUS Joshua 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
167 XIA Matthew 1% 18% 39% 31% 10% 1%
168 XIAO Brayden 1% 10% 40% 37% 12% 1%
169 XUE Leo 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1%
170 MERMEGAS Alexander 13% 42% 33% 10% 1% -
171 TRZEPLA Max 11% 46% 34% 8% 1% -
172 CAUTHRON Oliver 20% 41% 30% 8% 1% -
173 LIU Marvin 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
174 HWANG Hagan 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
175 ROBINSON Ezra 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
176 HALL Noah 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
177 TANG Morgan 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
177 AIKMAN Kai 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
179 VALENCIA Jose 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
180 WELSTEAD Nicholas 9% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
180 NGO Emerson 5% 32% 40% 19% 4% - -
182 WANG Ryan 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
183 LIU Guanyu 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
183 KAMURA Kosei 22% 48% 25% 5% - - -
185 BROWN Andrew 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
186 KEMP Austin 32% 47% 18% 3% - - -
187 HU Harry Jiming 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
188 KANIA Alexander 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
188 WARD Carter 77% 21% 2% - - - -
190 HONG Arick 29% 51% 17% 2% - - -
191 CHI Everett 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
192 GORDON Ezekiel 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
193 HE Zhikai (kyle) 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
194 TOSCANO Sebastian 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
195 SUH Leo 10% 34% 38% 16% 2% -
195 FIROOZI Sam 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
195 PADANILAM Thomas 47% 41% 11% 1% - -
198 KURIYAMA Marcus 62% 32% 6% 1% - - -
199 HERRERA Stefano 41% 44% 13% 2% - - -
200 VO Landon 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
200 NELSON Henry 70% 26% 4% - - - -
202 XIA Daniel 72% 25% 3% - - -
202 CHEN Zhengming 45% 45% 9% 1% - -
204 VALENTINE Rhys 42% 41% 15% 2% - - -
204 VISH Manyu 45% 45% 9% 1% - - -
204 YOON Sungjun 29% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
207 SEELMAN Cole 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
208 SHARMA Keerat 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
209 SMITH Desmon 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -
210 COPPA Neal 13% 36% 34% 15% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.