October NAC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TSE Aiden J 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
2 CHON Collin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
3 MATTOO Deven 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
3 KANG Evan R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
5 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 52%
6 KOVALEV Daniil N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
6 VAID Luke 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
8 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 23%
9 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
10 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
11 GONZALEZ Jake 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
12 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 24% 3%
13 JIN Liangxuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
14 IM Tyler 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 18% 2%
15 LI Howard 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 67%
16 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 100% 96% 70% 20%
17 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60%
18 WANG Justin 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 14%
19 NGO Maximus 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
20 OH Aster 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
21 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 6%
22 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
23 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 7%
24 PARK Minjun 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
25 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
26 SANGSTER Arden 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 5%
27 WONG Lucas 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
28 WANG Samuel 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
29 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
29 BOLLU Viren 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
31 KOVACHEV Martin 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
32 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 15%
33 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
33 KIM Kendrick 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
35 LEE San 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 47%
36 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
36 PINTO Marcus 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 36% 8%
38 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 49% 15%
39 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
40 WONG David 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
41 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
42 SALMAN Hamzah 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
43 BIAN Hongyu 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
44 WAXLER Ryan 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
45 LUC Cedric 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
46 TANI Tino 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
46 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
48 CAI Jeff 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 2%
49 LUCAS William 100% 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% -
50 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
51 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
52 WANG Max 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
53 LI Ayden 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 10% 1%
54 CAO Oliver 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 10%
55 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 5%
56 KANG Matthew 100% 100% 98% 82% 40% 6%
57 YOOK Isaac 100% 100% 98% 78% 34% 4%
58 LI Yidong A. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
59 WEI Rian 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
60 LIU Victor 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
61 ANAND Rishab 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 1%
62 STURGEON Cole 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
63 DAI Zihou 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
64 GREENSTEIN Viktor 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
65 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
66 KITSON Chase 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
67 MINASIAN Mason 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
68 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
69 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 3%
69 KIM seoha 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
71 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 11%
72 ZHOU William 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 4%
73 PARK Inwoo 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
74 LIN Grant 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 5%
75 ONG Dylan 100% 99% 83% 45% 12% 1%
76 GONG Alex 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 40% 10%
77 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 28%
78 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
79 TURNER Benjamin 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
80 LUAN Mark 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
81 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
82 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
83 SADHU Neiyam 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
84 SANCHEZ Jacob 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
85 LEE Brian 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 32% 6%
86 SASSI Ilyas 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
87 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 13%
88 CHAN Henry 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 8% 1%
89 WANG Edward 100% 88% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
90 YANG Harvey 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
91 EKAMBARAM Nikhil 100% 98% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
92 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
93 WANG Tiger 100% 98% 79% 34% 6% -
94 BIVIJI Ali 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 7%
95 SUN Andy 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% -
96 SO Preston 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
97 AO Christopher 100% 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1%
98 LIU Yijin 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
99 YANG Phillip 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
100 PORTER Dupree 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
100 BURKE Sam 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 7% 1%
102 BROENING-CHAI Jonas 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
103 LIU Aaron 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
104 HOLZ Lucas 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 9%
105 WANG ANDREW CHANG 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 24%
106 BEKDJANOV Arthur 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
107 SAGE Nikolai 100% 94% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
107 AROUNA Ilan 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 3% -
109 SU Kingston 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
110 GONG Gavin 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 15% 2%
111 QIN toby 100% 98% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
112 FENG Brendan 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
113 FOSTY Jasper 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
114 MCDONALD Finn 100% 99% 85% 49% 14% 1%
115 HENDERSON Lucas 100% 100% 94% 65% 19% 2%
116 LI Coby 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
117 WONG Max 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 11% 1%
118 RINALDI Savio 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
119 CRAWFORD William 100% 97% 72% 33% 9% 1% -
120 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
121 LIU Ethan 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
122 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
122 LEE William Nigel 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
124 LIU Daniel 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
125 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
126 LUC Linkin 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
127 FANG Eason 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1%
128 KIM Enoch 100% 36% 5% - - -
129 LEVIN Jacob 100% 94% 68% 27% 4% -
130 YAO Zachary 100% 69% 18% 2% - -
131 BARENBOYM Michael 100% 98% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
132 KAVZAN Toprak 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
133 BALU Aedan 100% 98% 80% 42% 11% 1% -
134 WANG Theodore 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
135 CAO Donald 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
136 LEE Nathan Uju 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 4% -
137 TSAO Alister 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
138 NAMBIAR Navin 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
139 HO Anson 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
140 RAJMOHAN Arya 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
141 KIARA Kinoti 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
142 CHEN Cooper 100% 98% 78% 38% 9% 1%
143 LIU Leyi 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
144 KHOTLINE Daniel 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% -
145 IYER Neil 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
146 WANG Zixin 100% 100% 91% 64% 28% 7% 1%
147 JOUFFLINEAU Yohann 100% 95% 65% 26% 6% 1% -
147 CRICOL Damian 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
149 KULKARNI Shreyas 100% 70% 23% 3% - - -
150 SUN Eon 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
150 MATTOO Dhruv 100% 90% 51% 16% 3% - -
152 SOULES-ONO Makoa 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
153 ALAVE Kyle 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 1%
153 KOZLOFF Wyatt 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
155 SUN Andrew 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
156 WONG Reagan 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
157 BOSITA Brennan 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
158 PARKILA Lukas 100% 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
158 PAUL Jimmy 100% 86% 48% 16% 3% - -
160 SONG Aidan 100% 98% 72% 32% 8% 1% -
161 CIEMINS Henry 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
162 BAI Evan 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
162 ROSALES Vincent 100% 96% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
164 LIU ERIC 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
165 BERKOWITZ Gavin 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 3% -
166 BADMUS Joshua 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
167 XIA Matthew 100% 99% 81% 42% 11% 1%
168 XIAO Brayden 100% 99% 90% 50% 12% 1%
169 XUE Leo 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1%
170 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 87% 45% 12% 1% -
171 TRZEPLA Max 100% 89% 43% 9% 1% -
172 CAUTHRON Oliver 100% 80% 39% 9% 1% -
173 LIU Marvin 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
174 HWANG Hagan 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
175 ROBINSON Ezra 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
176 HALL Noah 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 6% -
177 TANG Morgan 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
177 AIKMAN Kai 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
179 VALENCIA Jose 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
180 WELSTEAD Nicholas 100% 91% 55% 18% 3% - -
180 NGO Emerson 100% 95% 62% 23% 4% - -
182 WANG Ryan 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
183 LIU Guanyu 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
183 KAMURA Kosei 100% 78% 30% 5% - - -
185 BROWN Andrew 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
186 KEMP Austin 100% 68% 21% 3% - - -
187 HU Harry Jiming 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
188 KANIA Alexander 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
188 WARD Carter 100% 23% 2% - - - -
190 HONG Arick 100% 71% 20% 2% - - -
191 CHI Everett 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
192 GORDON Ezekiel 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
193 HE Zhikai (kyle) 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
194 TOSCANO Sebastian 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
195 SUH Leo 100% 90% 56% 18% 2% -
195 FIROOZI Sam 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
195 PADANILAM Thomas 100% 53% 13% 1% - -
198 KURIYAMA Marcus 100% 38% 6% 1% - - -
199 HERRERA Stefano 100% 59% 15% 2% - - -
200 VO Landon 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
200 NELSON Henry 100% 30% 4% - - - -
202 XIA Daniel 100% 28% 3% - - -
202 CHEN Zhengming 100% 55% 10% 1% - -
204 VALENTINE Rhys 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
204 VISH Manyu 100% 55% 10% 1% - - -
204 YOON Sungjun 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
207 SEELMAN Cole 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
208 SHARMA Keerat 100% 62% 20% 4% - - -
209 SMITH Desmon 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
210 COPPA Neal 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.