USF 13th Annual Oktoberfence

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 1:30 PM

USF Recreation and Wellness Center - Tampa, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MITTELSTAEDT Isaiah 100% 100% 97% 75% 30%
2 ARCHIBALD Daniel 100% 98% 49% 8%
3 SHULTZ Michael 100% 97% 74% 17%
3 PIMIENTO Tomas 100% 72% 32% 8% 1% -
5 GIRENKOV Andrei 100% 99% 87% 43%
6 BATISTA Julian 100% 82% 40% 8%
7 MCFARLAND John 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
8 RAMIREZ Michael 100% 87% 49% 11%
9 JADHAV Tanay 100% 100% 97% 50% 8%
10 HERARD Weiman 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
11 SANDERS Charlotte 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
12 BEAU DE ROCHARS Josh 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 4%
13 BOROWSKI Olivia 100% 97% 77% 35% 6%
14 COLANERI Trevor 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% -
15 KARPF Jonah 100% 70% 27% 5% -
16 ALEKSEEV Konstantin 100% 98% 83% 44% 9%
17 SUN Yuzheng 100% 100% 95% 68% 20%
18 BOLLE Elijah 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
19 BARRETT John 100% 93% 64% 21%
20 DAVIS Elisabeth 100% 78% 28% 4% -
22 INTERTHAL William 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
23 DAVIS Kelly 100% 86% 47% 11%
24 DAVIS Shanna 100% 25% 2% -
25 SOKOLOWSKI Olivia 100% 46% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.