October NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Sunday, October 5, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WILLIAMS Grant W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88%
2 DENNER Max P. 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 14%
3 PAN Jerry 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
3 OH Triton 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 10%
5 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
6 DESROSIERS Olivier 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
7 SKEETE Kamar A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
8 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
9 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 29%
10 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
11 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22% 3%
12 LIM Sungmin 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
13 TENG MATTHEW 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12% 1%
14 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
15 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
16 YE Eric 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
17 YEN Darren 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
17 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
19 HOMER Daryl D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
20 THOMPSON Khalil A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
21 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13% 1%
22 ASLAN Tolga 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
23 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
24 REN James 100% 100% 98% 85% 43% 8%
25 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
26 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
27 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
28 ROBINSON William 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 5%
29 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
30 LIM William J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
31 DUNCAN Adlai 100% 92% 59% 17% 2% -
32 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% -
33 JANG Hwanyun 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 7%
34 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
35 WON Taeyoung 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
36 VAID Luke 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 32% 5%
37 HONG Rubin 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
38 BOOTH Zaheer 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 22%
39 LEE Noah 100% 99% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
40 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
41 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 7%
42 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 92% 63% 23% 4% -
43 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
44 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 27%
45 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
46 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
47 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
48 SIERADZKY Dawson 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
49 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
50 ROBERTS Sam 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 31%
51 SU Landon 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 2%
52 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21% 1%
53 LI Howard 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 3%
54 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9%
55 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 19%
56 GANASCIA-LIN Guillaume 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 5%
57 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
58 NGO Maximus 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
59 HWANG Jayden 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% -
60 BAUER Hank E. 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
61 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% -
62 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36% 5%
63 YANG Dylan 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
64 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% -
65 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
66 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 8%
67 TSE Aiden J 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 3%
68 CHON Collin 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
69 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
70 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
71 UEMOTO Ken 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
72 GONG Jerry 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 3% -
73 PI Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
74 WONG Tzer 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
74 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 4%
76 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
77 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8% -
78 LUHAN Zachary 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
79 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 28%
80 MATTOO Deven 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
81 YAO JINTAO 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 6%
82 BIAN Hongyu 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
83 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
84 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22% 1%
85 LEE Heeseong 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 11% -
86 KANG Evan R. 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
87 CRAIN Bennett 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
88 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 17% 2%
89 WANG ANDREW CHANG 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
90 YAO JINCHENG 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
91 WANG Jerry 100% 92% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
92 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
93 NOBLE Colin 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 5%
94 ANDRES Michael 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1% -
95 BIVIJI Ali 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
95 BOLLU Viren 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
97 LI Ayden 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
98 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 3%
99 IYER Neil 100% 73% 26% 4% < 1% - -
100 SCHARDINE James 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% -
101 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
101 CHO RYAN 100% 92% 62% 23% 3% -
103 POFF Kainoa 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
104 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 100% 68% 26% 5% - -
105 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
106 KANG Matthew 100% 90% 56% 19% 2% -
107 KOVALEV Daniil N. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
108 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 11% 1%
109 LI Yiwei 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
110 CHUNG Connor 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3% -
110 LIU Kevin 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% -
112 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
113 LEE Yeongung 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 3%
114 KIM Kendrick 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
115 FALCON-KORB Mathis 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 2% -
116 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
117 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
118 WU Roger (Mengke) 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 41%
119 LEE Andrew 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
120 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 44%
121 SUBA Lucas 100% 97% 78% 39% 9% 1%
122 JIN Liangxuan 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
123 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
124 ZHENG LEON 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
125 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 11%
126 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
127 KITSON Chase 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1% -
128 CHEN Jonathan 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
129 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 11% 1%
130 OH Aster 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
131 WESLER Logan A. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
132 LAUB William 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
133 AO Christopher 100% 85% 48% 15% 3% - -
134 SO Preston 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
135 SADHU Neiyam 100% 90% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
136 CHEN Samuel 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 10% 1%
137 WANG Samuel 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
138 LIN Philip T. 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
139 CAO Donald 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2% -
140 ZHOU William 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
141 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
142 CHENEY Christopher (Chris) M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 5%
142 MATTOO Surya 100% 98% 83% 44% 12% 1% -
144 LIU Aaron 100% 84% 42% 11% 1% - -
145 WEI Rian 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
146 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
146 PINTO Marcus 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
148 ZHAO Lucas 100% 98% 83% 48% 13% 1%
149 KILARI Krish 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 2%
149 TIAGI Daniel 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
151 YADAV Lakshya 100% 72% 26% 4% - -
152 HU Chris 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
153 DEPEW Spencer 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
154 LU Xinzhen 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
155 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
156 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
157 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 5% -
158 KATZ Ryan 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
159 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
160 CHAN Elliott 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
161 KANG Evan 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1% -
162 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 92% 55% 16% 2% - -
163 WANG Max 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
164 SUN George 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
165 MCDONALD Finn 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
166 HOLZ Lucas 100% 96% 73% 34% 7% - -
167 LINCOURT Arthur 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
168 KOTVALI Aneesh 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
169 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4% -
169 RAMANAN Govind 100% 98% 78% 38% 9% 1% -
171 LIN Felix 100% 70% 25% 4% - - -
172 COBIAN Richard 100% 73% 31% 8% 1% - -
172 FANG Eason 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
174 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 100% 95% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
175 CHOW William T. 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
176 GONG Alex 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
177 YAN William 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
178 ANAND Rohan 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% -
179 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% -
180 TIAGI George 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
181 SASSI Ilyas 100% 74% 27% 4% - -
182 SAGE Sebastian 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
183 TANI Tino 100% 89% 55% 18% 2% - -
184 ONG Dylan 100% 71% 28% 5% - - -
185 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
186 PATEL Rayn 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
187 PORTER Dupree 100% 88% 49% 15% 2% - -
187 TOZZI Massimo 100% 76% 37% 10% 2% - -
189 TSAO Oliver 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
190 WONG David 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
191 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 67% 20% 3% - - -
192 HAN William 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
193 HENDERSON Lucas 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
194 FIROOZI Sam 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
195 ZHAO Royce 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
196 SANGSTER Arden 100% 92% 59% 21% 4% - -
197 SU Kingston 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
198 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
199 CHENG Brandon 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% - -
200 YOOK Isaac 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
201 CAO Oliver 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
202 RODRIGUEZ Darlin 100% 96% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
202 KIM Hakyeom 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 7% -
204 YANG Phillip 100% 91% 60% 22% 3% -
205 BAI Evan 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
206 HO Anson 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
206 IM Tyler 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
208 SUN Andrew 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
208 KO Zuriel 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
210 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
211 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
212 KHOTLINE Daniel 100% 61% 18% 3% - - -
213 HERNANDEZ Stanton 100% 97% 73% 33% 8% 1% -
213 LAZARTE Gabriel 100% 41% 7% - - - -
215 HALL Noah 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
216 HUNG Samuel 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.