October NAC

Junior Women's Saber

Monday, October 6, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HWANG Gabi M. - - - - 6% 30% 64%
2 BEVACQUA Aria F. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
3 FESTA Carina - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
3 XIAO julie - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
5 TSUI Natalie - - - 2% 15% 40% 42%
6 KIM Seojin - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
7 CHEN Ashley - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
8 CHIARELLI Valentina - - 2% 13% 35% 38% 11%
9 LAURI Keira - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
10 JOHNSON Dagny L. - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
10 HUAI Delilah - - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
12 BORGUETA Madison 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% < 1%
13 JEON Yuju - - - 2% 14% 42% 41%
14 ZHANG XUANYI - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
15 JOO Yeseul - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
16 WANG Gloria Ruoyan - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
17 SHTREVENSKY Maria - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
18 LEE Alyson 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
19 PAUL Lila - - - - 5% 29% 65%
20 ANDRES Charmaine G. - - - 2% 21% 77%
21 CHOI Charlotte - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
22 LEOU Korina - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
23 MCKEE Brynnley - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
24 SHEARER Natalie E. - - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
25 BROWN Aria 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6% 1%
26 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
27 NHA Chaewon - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
28 NATHANSON Sammy E. - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
29 YOUNG Charlotte G. - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 10%
30 ZOLLER Noelle - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
31 RAGHURAMAN Anishka 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
32 TABANGAY Heartlyn - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 19%
33 LIN Nicole - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 13%
34 FEIG Sela - - - 2% 13% 40% 46%
35 MERCHANT Aishwarya - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
36 LIU Yifei - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
37 MUND Ruth - 1% 6% 22% 39% 27% 6%
38 FERNANDEZ Martina - - 4% 15% 33% 35% 13%
39 SHI Cathleen - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
40 HUANG Doris - 2% 13% 33% 35% 14% 2%
40 WANG Jiayi 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
42 JIANG Evelyn - 2% 19% 38% 31% 9% 1%
43 GUGALA Hanna - 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 5%
44 HILD Nisha - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
44 LOMOTAN Addison 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
46 DAVIDOVA Kira - 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
47 JEONG Katie - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
48 MANN Sophia J. - 1% 9% 33% 41% 16%
49 LU Elaine - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
50 KWON Hannah 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
51 MALEK Zolie - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 11%
52 DANG Kelia - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
52 NIU Jessica 3% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
54 KAUL Tara 1% 12% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
55 CONG Anne - 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2%
56 VINOGOROVA Sofiia - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
57 ANTHONY Alexia B. - - 1% 7% 25% 43% 24%
58 LI Jiaying - 2% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1%
59 KIM Karen 1% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
59 TANG Zhifei - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 14%
61 GONG Joy 1% 8% 32% 41% 17% 1%
62 CHAVAN Arya 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
63 DUDNICK Morgan - 4% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2%
64 TA-ZHOU Emma - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
65 YOON Eunkyo - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
66 MACKAY Katherine - 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 7%
67 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
67 LUKER Hannah - 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
69 XIONG Haojiao - 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 6%
70 ONG Lauren 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
71 DHAR Layla - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
72 ATTIA Jasmine - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
73 HSU Leah - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
75 SCHMIDT Isabel - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
76 JANG Eunchae - 1% 8% 26% 38% 24% 3%
77 WONG Natalie - 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
78 GUVEN Coco - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
79 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
80 VINOKUR Anita 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
81 DJAMIRZE Zara - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
82 REN Katherine - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
83 YADAV Tishya 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
83 XU Elaine - 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
85 XIE Nora - 4% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
86 LIU kai yin aria - 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
87 SO Catelyn - 1% 7% 27% 40% 23% 3%
88 VADASZ Ibla P. - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 27%
89 SENOGLU Irmak - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 5%
90 MEDVINSKY Alexandra - 2% 10% 28% 37% 19% 3%
91 ARNOLD Hali - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
92 LOO Kaitlyn 8% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
93 LIM Jaslene - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
94 LIN Elaine - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 12%
94 GONZALEZ PARTIDA Valeria 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% -
96 YUEN Nicole - 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
97 BERMAN greta - 7% 31% 42% 19% 1%
98 MCAFEE Jada 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
99 SPEARS Mya B - 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 4%
100 LEI Zitong (Meya) - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
100 NG Sophia 4% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
102 HU Anna - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
103 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
103 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
103 SINGER Ellery 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
106 HAMMERSTROM Aria - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
107 PARK Seeun - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
108 JEFFORDS Sophia 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
109 FAN Alexandria - 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
110 YU Skylar 3% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
111 ZENG Sarah - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
112 DHAR Rana - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
113 FAVO Isabella - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
114 GENTILE Vittoria 4% 22% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
115 GAIKWAD Ashmiee - 5% 20% 36% 28% 9% 1%
116 WANG Callie - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 6%
117 TSE Angelina - 2% 15% 36% 34% 13% 1%
118 MAO Elsa 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
119 CARTER Keely - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
120 PARK Chloe 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
121 WEI JoyAnn - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
122 BARROSO Isabela 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
123 BUHAY Kirsten M. 1% 7% 25% 38% 23% 6% -
124 WANG YIZHEN - - 7% 30% 43% 19%
125 CHANG Norah 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
126 KO Ariel 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
127 BORTAI Eliza 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
128 HWANG Charlotte 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
129 WONG Cerise 8% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
130 KONDEV Elizabeth - 1% 9% 33% 41% 16%
131 IANNUZZI Lucy 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
132 TENG EMMA 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% 1%
133 CHUNG Hailey - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
134 NANDA Maanika 4% 31% 41% 20% 4% - -
135 KWON Ava 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
136 MEYERSON Michelle 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
136 ZHANG Ashley 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
138 KIM Sebin - 5% 25% 43% 25% 2%
139 CHAN Jolene - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
140 DAMBAL Sasha - 5% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
141 DIECK Miranda P. - 7% 28% 39% 21% 5% -
142 DANTULURI Shalini - 2% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
142 NGUYEN Summer 13% 58% 25% 4% - -
144 SHI Julia - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
145 KANG Ellie - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
146 CHIANG Melissa 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
147 KINKADE Ellie - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
147 YU Stella 4% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
149 FUNG Iris - 9% 42% 36% 11% 1%
150 CASTELO Soleil 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
150 NAKATA Gwyneth 75% 23% 2% < 1% - - -
152 SHMULER Fiona - 7% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
153 TEYSSIER Katherine 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
154 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde - 20% 39% 29% 10% 1% -
155 MUNGUIA Mila - 5% 22% 37% 28% 8% 1%
156 BUSH Bethany 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
157 KRASOWITZ Lucy 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
158 YE Madeleine 35% 42% 18% 4% - - -
159 HU Michelle 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
160 LIN Annika 7% 27% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
161 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra - 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
162 KNOBEL Sophia - 5% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
162 LONG Jessie - 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 3%
162 NING Lynn 1% 13% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
165 MING Emma 42% 41% 15% 3% - - -
166 HAN sophia 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
167 ZHAO Selena 5% 34% 39% 18% 4% - -
168 XIAO Cindy - 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
169 GRULICH Rayaana 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
170 ZHANG Chenfei - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
171 STADNIK Emilia 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
172 PADANILAM Lily 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
173 GOLDIN Nina - 1% 6% 20% 37% 30% 7%
174 LIU Kelly 7% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
175 LO Chloe 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
176 SAYSON Andrea - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
177 LIU Hannah 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
178 SEAL Cameron I. 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% - -
179 DESAUTELS Alexandra 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
179 LOURENCO Alexandra 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
181 YANG Lea - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
182 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
183 BIRNSTILL Reese 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
184 CROOKS Riley 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
184 LI Sonia - 4% 18% 34% 31% 11% 1%
186 BAIK Sarah 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
186 LIU Hannah 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
188 CAI Xinyi 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
189 WU Yuwei 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
189 MOON Claire 7% 31% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
191 TONG Laurie 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
192 MAO anna 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
193 LEE Kaitlin 15% 46% 31% 8% 1% -
194 SUNG Olivia 1% 11% 29% 34% 20% 5% 1%
195 NADKARNI Marisa 1% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
196 GAY Sasha 1% 6% 20% 35% 28% 9% 1%
197 OCA Merci 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2% -
197 CHANG Annette 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
199 KU Alathea-Joy 2% 14% 33% 33% 14% 2% -
200 HUANG Neila 8% 39% 36% 14% 2% - -
201 KANG Soeun 19% 54% 23% 4% - - -
202 WILSON Eva 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
203 KIRBY Skye 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -
204 KIM Satie 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
205 MERMEGAS Olivia 3% 19% 36% 29% 10% 2% -
205 ZHAI AMY 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
207 TURIANO Nadelle 8% 33% 37% 17% 4% - -
208 MAKLIN Sofia - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
208 PEREIRA Izumi 34% 42% 20% 4% - - -
210 KIM Grace 6% 34% 39% 17% 3% - -
211 GONZALEZ Veronika - 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
212 SENGUPTA Jia 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
213 DANTULURI Shivani 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
213 HSIEH Lucia 4% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
215 WILFRET Katerina 70% 26% 4% - - - -
216 DEMARIA Lauren 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
217 LI Yuluo 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
218 UEMOTO Lynn 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
218 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 1% 15% 38% 33% 11% 2% -
220 BHAVSAR Vanmayi 48% 39% 12% 2% - - -
221 ROSTHOLDER Hannah 54% 38% 8% 1% - -
222 STONE Coral 2% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
222 HILD Anya 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
222 LEMMEN Jasmijn 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
222 STAPLEY Claire 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
226 YAO Priscilla 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
226 KNULL Emma 31% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
226 PANCHAL Arya 64% 30% 5% - - - -
229 MEFFORD Isadora 75% 24% 1% - - -
229 RIFKIN Lielle 61% 35% 4% - - - -
229 TOPALOV Julia 71% 26% 3% - - - -
232 PATIL Jyothi 62% 32% 6% - - - -
233 JAJRA Avni 69% 27% 4% - - - -
233 MISHRA Naisha 97% 3% - - - - -
235 WONG Lucia 62% 32% 6% - - - -
236 VISWANATHAN Nishka 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
237 ANDERSON Kathryn 99% 1% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.