October NAC

Junior Women's Saber

Monday, October 6, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HWANG Gabi M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
2 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
3 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
3 XIAO julie 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
5 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
6 KIM Seojin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
7 CHEN Ashley 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
8 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 11%
9 LAURI Keira 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
10 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
10 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
12 BORGUETA Madison 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 2% < 1%
13 JEON Yuju 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
14 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 45%
15 JOO Yeseul 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
16 WANG Gloria Ruoyan 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
17 SHTREVENSKY Maria 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
18 LEE Alyson 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
19 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 65%
20 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
21 CHOI Charlotte 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
22 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
23 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
24 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
25 BROWN Aria 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
26 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
27 NHA Chaewon 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 3%
28 NATHANSON Sammy E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
29 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 10%
30 ZOLLER Noelle 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
31 RAGHURAMAN Anishka 100% 93% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
32 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
33 LIN Nicole 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
34 FEIG Sela 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
35 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
36 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
37 MUND Ruth 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 6%
38 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
39 SHI Cathleen 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
40 HUANG Doris 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
40 WANG Jiayi 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
42 JIANG Evelyn 100% 100% 98% 79% 41% 10% 1%
43 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
44 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
44 LOMOTAN Addison 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
46 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
47 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
48 MANN Sophia J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 16%
49 LU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
50 KWON Hannah 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
51 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 11%
52 DANG Kelia 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
52 NIU Jessica 100% 97% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
54 KAUL Tara 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
55 CONG Anne 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
56 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 12%
57 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
58 LI Jiaying 100% 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 1%
59 KIM Karen 100% 99% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
59 TANG Zhifei 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 14%
61 GONG Joy 100% 99% 91% 59% 18% 1%
62 CHAVAN Arya 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
63 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
64 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
65 YOON Eunkyo 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
66 MACKAY Katherine 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
67 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
67 LUKER Hannah 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
69 XIONG Haojiao 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 6%
70 ONG Lauren 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
71 DHAR Layla 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
72 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 10%
73 HSU Leah 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
75 SCHMIDT Isabel 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
76 JANG Eunchae 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 27% 3%
77 WONG Natalie 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7% 1%
78 GUVEN Coco 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
79 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
80 VINOKUR Anita 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
81 DJAMIRZE Zara 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
82 REN Katherine 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 9% 1%
83 YADAV Tishya 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
83 XU Elaine 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 6% -
85 XIE Nora 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
86 LIU kai yin aria 100% 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
87 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 3%
88 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
89 SENOGLU Irmak 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
90 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
91 ARNOLD Hali 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 10% 1%
92 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
93 LIM Jaslene 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
94 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
94 GONZALEZ PARTIDA Valeria 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
96 YUEN Nicole 100% 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
97 BERMAN greta 100% 100% 93% 62% 20% 1%
98 MCAFEE Jada 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
99 SPEARS Mya B 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 4%
100 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
100 NG Sophia 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
102 HU Anna 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
103 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
103 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
103 SINGER Ellery 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
106 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
107 PARK Seeun 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
108 JEFFORDS Sophia 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
109 FAN Alexandria 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
110 YU Skylar 100% 97% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
111 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
112 DHAR Rana 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
113 FAVO Isabella 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
114 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 96% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
115 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
116 WANG Callie 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 6%
117 TSE Angelina 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 1%
118 MAO Elsa 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
119 CARTER Keely 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
120 PARK Chloe 100% 89% 54% 19% 4% - -
121 WEI JoyAnn 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
122 BARROSO Isabela 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 8% 1%
123 BUHAY Kirsten M. 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 6% -
124 WANG YIZHEN 100% 100% 100% 93% 62% 19%
125 CHANG Norah 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
126 KO Ariel 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
127 BORTAI Eliza 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
128 HWANG Charlotte 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
129 WONG Cerise 100% 92% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
130 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 16%
131 IANNUZZI Lucy 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
132 TENG EMMA 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
133 CHUNG Hailey 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
134 NANDA Maanika 100% 96% 65% 24% 4% - -
135 KWON Ava 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
136 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
136 ZHANG Ashley 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
138 KIM Sebin 100% 100% 95% 70% 27% 2%
139 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
140 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
141 DIECK Miranda P. 100% 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
142 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 5%
142 NGUYEN Summer 100% 87% 29% 4% - -
144 SHI Julia 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
145 KANG Ellie 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
146 CHIANG Melissa 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
147 KINKADE Ellie 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
147 YU Stella 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 2% -
149 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 90% 48% 12% 1%
150 CASTELO Soleil 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
150 NAKATA Gwyneth 100% 25% 3% < 1% - - -
152 SHMULER Fiona 100% 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
153 TEYSSIER Katherine 100% 93% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
154 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde 100% 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% -
155 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
156 BUSH Bethany 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
157 KRASOWITZ Lucy 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
158 YE Madeleine 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
159 HU Michelle 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
160 LIN Annika 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
161 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
162 KNOBEL Sophia 100% 100% 95% 73% 38% 10% 1%
162 LONG Jessie 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
162 NING Lynn 100% 99% 86% 51% 17% 2% -
165 MING Emma 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
166 HAN sophia 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
167 ZHAO Selena 100% 95% 61% 22% 4% - -
168 XIAO Cindy 100% 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
169 GRULICH Rayaana 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
170 ZHANG Chenfei 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
171 STADNIK Emilia 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
172 PADANILAM Lily 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
173 GOLDIN Nina 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 36% 7%
174 LIU Kelly 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
175 LO Chloe 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
176 SAYSON Andrea 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
177 LIU Hannah 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
178 SEAL Cameron I. 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
179 DESAUTELS Alexandra 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
179 LOURENCO Alexandra 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
181 YANG Lea 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
182 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 100% 97% 81% 47% 17% 3% -
183 BIRNSTILL Reese 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
184 CROOKS Riley 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 8% 1%
184 LI Sonia 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
186 BAIK Sarah 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
186 LIU Hannah 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
188 CAI Xinyi 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
189 WU Yuwei 100% 97% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
189 MOON Claire 100% 93% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
191 TONG Laurie 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
192 MAO anna 100% 82% 44% 15% 3% - -
193 LEE Kaitlin 100% 85% 39% 8% 1% -
194 SUNG Olivia 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
195 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 99% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
196 GAY Sasha 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
197 OCA Merci 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 2% -
197 CHANG Annette 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
199 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
200 HUANG Neila 100% 92% 53% 17% 3% - -
201 KANG Soeun 100% 81% 27% 4% - - -
202 WILSON Eva 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
203 KIRBY Skye 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
204 KIM Satie 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
205 MERMEGAS Olivia 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
205 ZHAI AMY 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
207 TURIANO Nadelle 100% 92% 59% 21% 4% - -
208 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
208 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
210 KIM Grace 100% 94% 60% 21% 4% - -
211 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
212 SENGUPTA Jia 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
213 DANTULURI Shivani 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
213 HSIEH Lucia 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
215 WILFRET Katerina 100% 30% 4% - - - -
216 DEMARIA Lauren 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
217 LI Yuluo 100% 73% 31% 8% 1% - -
218 UEMOTO Lynn 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
218 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 100% 99% 84% 46% 13% 2% -
220 BHAVSAR Vanmayi 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
221 ROSTHOLDER Hannah 100% 46% 8% 1% - -
222 STONE Coral 100% 98% 76% 37% 10% 1% -
222 HILD Anya 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
222 LEMMEN Jasmijn 100% 64% 23% 4% - - -
222 STAPLEY Claire 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
226 YAO Priscilla 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
226 KNULL Emma 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
226 PANCHAL Arya 100% 36% 6% - - - -
229 MEFFORD Isadora 100% 25% 1% - - -
229 RIFKIN Lielle 100% 39% 4% - - - -
229 TOPALOV Julia 100% 29% 3% - - - -
232 PATIL Jyothi 100% 38% 6% - - - -
233 JAJRA Avni 100% 31% 4% - - - -
233 MISHRA Naisha 100% 3% - - - - -
235 WONG Lucia 100% 38% 6% - - - -
236 VISWANATHAN Nishka 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
237 ANDERSON Kathryn 100% 1% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.