The Ohio State University Open

Senior Men's Saber

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 3:00 PM

French Field House - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BERRIO Carter E. - - - - 4% 29% 67%
2 RIGHTLER Samuel - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
3 BAUER Hank E. - - 2% 16% 46% 37%
3 SCHARDINE James - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
5 MAKLIN Edward P. - - - 1% 11% 40% 47%
6 RAI Avin - - - 1% 13% 86%
7 LIU Kelly - - - - 4% 36% 60%
8 AL-NASSER Mahmoud - - - 2% 17% 58% 24%
9 BATTISFORE Hunter 1% 7% 27% 40% 21% 4% < 1%
10 WAGNER Elijah - 2% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1%
11 PARKILA Lukas 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
12 TOLEDO Carlos - 1% 15% 42% 34% 8%
13 GERSTMANN Max T. 1% 6% 25% 41% 26% 1%
14 GAJKOWSKI Leif - 1% 7% 27% 43% 20% 2%
15 DUMOULIN Gabriel - - 3% 18% 39% 33% 6%
16 HORNE Jamison - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 7%
17 CAISSE Simon B. - - 6% 30% 45% 19%
18 LEE Hanho - - 4% 19% 39% 31% 7%
19 PATRICO Peter - - 6% 25% 41% 24% 4%
19 DESAUTELS Connor - 2% 14% 37% 34% 12% 1%
21 MBERIA Alexander 12% 39% 37% 12% 1% -
22 SCHWIEBERT Harrison - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
23 WU Stephen - 6% 28% 39% 22% 5% -
24 JHAVERI Rajan - 2% 16% 41% 35% 6% -
25 LI Qiuye - - 2% 13% 38% 40% 7%
26 WHAPHAM Mark 4% 21% 38% 29% 8% -
27 GERBER Donovan 5% 28% 43% 20% 3% -
28 MCDANIEL Dreyden 12% 42% 33% 11% 2% - -
29 BUCKLEY Owen 25% 45% 25% 5% - - -
30 VU Mark 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
31 LEON Daniel 8% 33% 41% 15% 2% - -
32 SCHRETTER Jayden 7% 29% 39% 20% 4% - -
33 BAILEY Conner - 3% 17% 45% 31% 4% -
34 JONES Troy 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
35 LIU Lucas 24% 43% 26% 6% 1% - -
36 KURILIN Boris 1% 10% 38% 38% 13% 1%
37 RIGHTLER Nathanael 47% 42% 10% 1% - -
38 EDENFIELD Liam 23% 45% 27% 5% - - -
39 PRATHEEP Ashwath 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
40 LIU Logan 35% 44% 18% 3% - - -
41 MEYTIN Maxwell S. 36% 43% 17% 3% - - -
42 BLAIR Connor 29% 43% 23% 5% - -
43 MAMKIN Nathan 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% - -
43 KAUFFMAN Davian 19% 47% 28% 6% 1% - -
45 BENEDETTI Connor 16% 50% 29% 4% - -
46 MCCRAE Michael 4% 31% 51% 13% 1% - -
47 SMELTZER Michael 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.