The Ohio State University Open

Senior Men's Saber

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 3:00 PM

French Field House - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
2 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
3 BAUER Hank E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
3 SCHARDINE James 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
5 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
6 RAI Avin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
7 LIU Kelly 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 60%
8 AL-NASSER Mahmoud 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 24%
9 BATTISFORE Hunter 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 4% < 1%
10 WAGNER Elijah 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
11 PARKILA Lukas 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
12 TOLEDO Carlos 100% 100% 99% 84% 41% 8%
13 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 99% 93% 68% 27% 1%
14 GAJKOWSKI Leif 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22% 2%
15 DUMOULIN Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 6%
16 HORNE Jamison 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
17 CAISSE Simon B. 100% 100% 100% 94% 64% 19%
18 LEE Hanho 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
19 PATRICO Peter 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 4%
19 DESAUTELS Connor 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 13% 1%
21 MBERIA Alexander 100% 88% 50% 13% 1% -
22 SCHWIEBERT Harrison 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
23 WU Stephen 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
24 JHAVERI Rajan 100% 100% 97% 82% 41% 6% -
25 LI Qiuye 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 7%
26 WHAPHAM Mark 100% 96% 75% 37% 8% -
27 GERBER Donovan 100% 95% 67% 24% 4% -
28 MCDANIEL Dreyden 100% 88% 46% 13% 2% - -
29 BUCKLEY Owen 100% 75% 30% 5% - - -
30 VU Mark 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
31 LEON Daniel 100% 92% 59% 18% 2% - -
32 SCHRETTER Jayden 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% - -
33 BAILEY Conner 100% 100% 97% 80% 35% 4% -
34 JONES Troy 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
35 LIU Lucas 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
36 KURILIN Boris 100% 99% 89% 52% 13% 1%
37 RIGHTLER Nathanael 100% 53% 11% 1% - -
38 EDENFIELD Liam 100% 77% 33% 6% - - -
39 PRATHEEP Ashwath 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
40 LIU Logan 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
41 MEYTIN Maxwell S. 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
42 BLAIR Connor 100% 71% 28% 5% - -
43 MAMKIN Nathan 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% - -
43 KAUFFMAN Davian 100% 81% 35% 7% 1% - -
45 BENEDETTI Connor 100% 84% 34% 4% - -
46 MCCRAE Michael 100% 96% 65% 14% 1% - -
47 SMELTZER Michael 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.