Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Hall C - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ROVATI Caterina - - - 7% 35% 58%
2 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna 4% 24% 41% 26% 6% -
3 SMITH Grace L. - - - 1% 13% 45% 41%
3 PETROFF Eva - 6% 24% 41% 25% 4%
5 EDWARDS Auprell - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
6 YOU Isabel B. - 4% 21% 40% 29% 5%
7 JU Jennifer 19% 42% 30% 8% 1% - -
8 ZHENG Erin 23% 44% 27% 6% 1% -
9 GANSER Nicole - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 12%
10 ZUCKER Emily A. 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
11 WEI Sherry - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
12 LOBANOVA Varvara 1% 7% 27% 41% 20% 3% -
13 YU Livia 4% 22% 40% 27% 7% -
14 MENG YIFAN - 1% 8% 30% 43% 17% 2%
15 GANSER Yuliya - 1% 10% 34% 43% 11%
16 BOROTKO Katerina 2% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
17 POLANICHKA Nicole - - - 4% 22% 49% 24%
18 XIAO Katelyn 3% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
19 POYNTON Cora 14% 40% 34% 11% 1% -
20 CHERNOBRIVETS Maria 23% 44% 27% 6% 1% -
21 YANAGIDA Coco 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
22 BOWIE Charlotta 1% 12% 34% 38% 14% 1%
23 LAW Mila 9% 32% 39% 17% 3% - -
24 DUNNE Jessica 22% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
25 ALVAREZ Martine 35% 43% 18% 3% - -
26 WIESSLER-HUGHES Linda < 1% 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.