Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Hall C - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ROVATI Caterina 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 58%
2 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% -
3 SMITH Grace L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 41%
3 PETROFF Eva 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 4%
5 EDWARDS Auprell 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
6 YOU Isabel B. 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 5%
7 JU Jennifer 100% 81% 38% 8% 1% - -
8 ZHENG Erin 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
9 GANSER Nicole 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
10 ZUCKER Emily A. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
11 WEI Sherry 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
12 LOBANOVA Varvara 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 4% -
13 YU Livia 100% 96% 74% 34% 7% -
14 MENG YIFAN 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19% 2%
15 GANSER Yuliya 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 11%
16 BOROTKO Katerina 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
17 POLANICHKA Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 24%
18 XIAO Katelyn 100% 97% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
19 POYNTON Cora 100% 86% 46% 12% 1% -
20 CHERNOBRIVETS Maria 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
21 YANAGIDA Coco 100% 63% 23% 5% 1% - -
22 BOWIE Charlotta 100% 99% 87% 53% 15% 1%
23 LAW Mila 100% 91% 59% 20% 3% - -
24 DUNNE Jessica 100% 78% 35% 7% 1% - -
25 ALVAREZ Martine 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
26 WIESSLER-HUGHES Linda 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.