Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Hall C - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MCDONALD Finn - - 2% 10% 28% 38% 21%
2 PORTER Dupree - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
3 FENG Brendan - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
3 CLARK Aram - - - - 4% 27% 69%
5 JI Johnson - - - 2% 17% 45% 36%
6 SHEYNZON Benjamin - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 5%
7 WANG Theodore - - 3% 22% 43% 26% 5%
8 MERMEGAS Alexander 1% 5% 18% 31% 30% 14% 2%
9 NAYAGAM Nishant 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
10 LIEBOWITZ Carson 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
11 BALE ATMAN - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
12 SHAPIRO Leo 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
13 CHIANG Ethan 4% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% -
14 STEWART Samuel 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
15 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - 2% 10% 26% 36% 22% 4%
16 WASCO Andrew - 2% 9% 25% 34% 24% 6%
17 LEVY Jack 1% 7% 24% 36% 26% 7%
18 LIU Ryan - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
19 ROMBERG Sam - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
20 CONNOLLY Edward Bud 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
21 DAYAMA Ronak 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
22 CAI Chengtian 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
23 LEE Ryan 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
24 MIAO Heqi - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
25 DE SIENA Salvatore - - - 7% 30% 45% 19%
26 SAYAR Luke 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
27 CHANG Timothy 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
28 ZHANG Simon 7% 25% 34% 23% 9% 2% -
29 LEIGH Brayden 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
30 ZWAKA Jonas - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
31 VISH Manyu 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
32 LIEU Nicholas 8% 28% 35% 22% 6% 1%
33 HOUPT Lucas 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
34 CAI Chengyuan - 3% 18% 40% 29% 8% 1%
35 DEMERS Bodhi 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
36 FREILICH Harrison 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
37 TITOV Zachary 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
38 BENNETT Lachlan 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
39 SONG Ryan 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
40 HOWARTH Hayes - 4% 17% 33% 32% 13% 1%
41 YANG Byron 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
42 GRIFFIN Sid 22% 44% 28% 6% - - -
43 AKSAKAL Deniz 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
44 TASIKAS Peter 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
44 JIN Yubo 1% 5% 20% 34% 29% 10% 1%
46 WU Vincent 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
47 LI Kent 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
48 PARROCO Andrew 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
49 JARRETT Benjamin 19% 44% 30% 6% - - -
50 LI Sebastian 15% 41% 35% 9% 1% - -
51 ZAY Elijah 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
51 SONG Jerry 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
53 SHAW Micah 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
54 LEE SungYup 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
54 KRISHNAN Arjun 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.