Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Hall C - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MCDONALD Finn 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 21%
2 PORTER Dupree 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
3 FENG Brendan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
3 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
5 JI Johnson 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 36%
6 SHEYNZON Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
7 WANG Theodore 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 31% 5%
8 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 16% 2%
9 NAYAGAM Nishant 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
10 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
11 BALE ATMAN 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
12 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
13 CHIANG Ethan 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
14 STEWART Samuel 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
15 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
16 WASCO Andrew 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
17 LEVY Jack 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7%
18 LIU Ryan 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 4%
19 ROMBERG Sam 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
20 CONNOLLY Edward Bud 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
21 DAYAMA Ronak 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
22 CAI Chengtian 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
23 LEE Ryan 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
24 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 34% 8%
25 DE SIENA Salvatore 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 63% 19%
26 SAYAR Luke 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
27 CHANG Timothy 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
28 ZHANG Simon 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
29 LEIGH Brayden 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
30 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 52% 17%
31 VISH Manyu 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
32 LIEU Nicholas 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1%
33 HOUPT Lucas 100% 96% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
34 CAI Chengyuan 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 9% 1%
35 DEMERS Bodhi 100% 96% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
36 FREILICH Harrison 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% -
37 TITOV Zachary 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 7% 1%
38 BENNETT Lachlan 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
39 SONG Ryan 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
40 HOWARTH Hayes 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
41 YANG Byron 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
42 GRIFFIN Sid 100% 78% 34% 6% - - -
43 AKSAKAL Deniz 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
44 TASIKAS Peter 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
44 JIN Yubo 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
46 WU Vincent 100% 97% 82% 50% 20% 4% -
47 LI Kent 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
48 PARROCO Andrew 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
49 JARRETT Benjamin 100% 81% 37% 7% - - -
50 LI Sebastian 100% 85% 44% 10% 1% - -
51 ZAY Elijah 100% 96% 78% 47% 18% 4% -
51 SONG Jerry 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
53 SHAW Micah 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
54 LEE SungYup 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
54 KRISHNAN Arjun 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.