13th Annual Little Musketeers RYC & RJC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Jump Beyond Sports - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RONG Gordon - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
2 XUE Michael - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
3 BERTEL Florian - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
3 PARRA Lucas - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
5 VOO Lucas - - - 1% 9% 36% 55%
6 DU Evan - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
7 RONG Marcus - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
8 ENG Kyler - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
9 LEE Lucas - 2% 12% 33% 38% 14% 1%
10 SHOURIE Neel - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 4%
11 DENG Destin - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
12 NUGENT Curtis - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
13 WONG Kyle - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
14 WANG Lucas - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
15 KOU Mason - 4% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
16 NGUYEN Ethan V. 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
17 FU Nolan - - - 3% 15% 41% 42%
18 HAN Alex 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% < 1% -
19 ABRAHAM Aaron 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
20 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
21 SHIH Derek 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
22 SHOURIE Seth - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
23 BALUCAN Caelus - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
24 OLIVAS Joseph 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
25 OR Anson 6% 30% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
26 LEUNG Dylan - 1% 10% 30% 39% 18%
27 YUN Mason 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
28 TIAN Dylan - 4% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
29 YOON Ian 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
29 YIM Antonio 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
31 GUO Jonathan 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
32 YUN Nicholas 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
33 LIU Yihong - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4%
34 ONG David - 3% 15% 31% 33% 16% 2%
35 SAMIMI Sina - - 5% 21% 39% 30% 6%
36 YOO Lucas 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
37 BALUCAN Gabriel 1% 11% 29% 34% 20% 5% -
38 TOUSSAINT Wizard - 2% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
39 LI Vance 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
40 MAI Sy 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
41 LIU Xuyao - 1% 8% 23% 36% 25% 6%
42 MA Ciel - 2% 10% 25% 35% 23% 6%
43 LIN Bryan - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
44 FU Benjamin - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
45 LIU Aiden 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
46 LI Connor 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
47 LAU Caleb 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
48 VENERACION Marcus 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
49 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 1% 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
50 FEKETE Jack Fekete 7% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
51 KONG William 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
52 PARK Sean 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
53 SZETO Zachary 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
54 GONZALEZ-KUSHNER Elian 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
55 TAVERNA Matteo 2% 15% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
56 ZHANG JENSON - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
57 LO Stefan 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% 1% -
58 SHETTY Rohit - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
59 FONG Ethan 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
59 CHU Clayton 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
61 ELARDO Griffin 6% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
62 YI Alexander 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
63 PARSONS Charlie 35% 42% 18% 4% - - -
65 HARDY Haywood 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
66 ZHAO Luke 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
67 HUNG Ludwig 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
68 BALDWIN Liam 50% 38% 10% 1% - - -
69 JI Dylan 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.