13th Annual Little Musketeers RYC & RJC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Jump Beyond Sports - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
2 XUE Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 36%
3 BERTEL Florian 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
3 PARRA Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
5 VOO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
6 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
7 RONG Marcus 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
8 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
9 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16% 1%
10 SHOURIE Neel 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
11 DENG Destin 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
12 NUGENT Curtis 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
13 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
14 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 17%
15 KOU Mason 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
16 NGUYEN Ethan V. 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
17 FU Nolan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
18 HAN Alex 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% < 1% -
19 ABRAHAM Aaron 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
20 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
21 SHIH Derek 100% 99% 89% 59% 25% 5% -
22 SHOURIE Seth 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
23 BALUCAN Caelus 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
24 OLIVAS Joseph 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
25 OR Anson 100% 94% 65% 26% 6% 1% -
26 LEUNG Dylan 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
27 YUN Mason 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
28 TIAN Dylan 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
29 YOON Ian 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
29 YIM Antonio 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
31 GUO Jonathan 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
32 YUN Nicholas 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
33 LIU Yihong 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
34 ONG David 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 18% 2%
35 SAMIMI Sina 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
36 YOO Lucas 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 12% 1%
37 BALUCAN Gabriel 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
38 TOUSSAINT Wizard 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
39 LI Vance 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
40 MAI Sy 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
41 LIU Xuyao 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
42 MA Ciel 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 6%
43 LIN Bryan 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
44 FU Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
45 LIU Aiden 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
46 LI Connor 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
47 LAU Caleb 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 1% -
48 VENERACION Marcus 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
49 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
50 FEKETE Jack Fekete 100% 93% 62% 24% 5% - -
51 KONG William 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
52 PARK Sean 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
53 SZETO Zachary 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
54 GONZALEZ-KUSHNER Elian 100% 85% 49% 16% 2% -
55 TAVERNA Matteo 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2% -
56 ZHANG JENSON 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
57 LO Stefan 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% 1% -
58 SHETTY Rohit 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
59 FONG Ethan 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
59 CHU Clayton 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% -
61 ELARDO Griffin 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
62 YI Alexander 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
63 PARSONS Charlie 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
65 HARDY Haywood 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
66 ZHAO Luke 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
67 HUNG Ludwig 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
68 BALDWIN Liam 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
69 JI Dylan 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.