Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Monday, October 13, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Hall C - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Cameron 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
2 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
3 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
3 FOGEL Jake 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
5 CARPENTER Touma S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
6 LIN Qianzhong 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 5%
7 CHIANG William 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
8 QI Bryan 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
9 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
10 LEE Elijah 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
11 ZHANG Shuhao 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
12 TUNG Charlie 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 10%
13 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
14 DEVISETTY Sohun 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 5% -
15 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
16 ZHU Brady 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 32% 7%
17 BHANDARE Veer 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
18 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
19 VASILEV Victor 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
20 LEE Ryan 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
21 JIANG Aidan 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
22 LI Jayden 100% 97% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
22 MCGRATH Hogan 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 7%
24 LAI Jaxon 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
25 YAO Irvine 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
26 BARTON Christian 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
27 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
28 KESELMAN Ron 100% 87% 52% 18% 4% - -
29 FUTTY Jonathan 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
30 DAND Zahin 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
31 SMITH Theo 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
32 AIRAN-JAVIA Shiv 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
33 ZHENG Jasper 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
34 ROBINSON Blake 100% 92% 65% 29% 6% 1%
35 KIM Louie 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
36 SON Isaac 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
37 CHEN Jayden 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
38 MILOWSKY Majai 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
39 TOMPA Paul 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
40 LEE Taeryum 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
41 SHAO Mason 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
42 WEI Noah 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
43 KIM Brendan 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% 1% -
44 CARPENTER Taisei 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
45 DAI Jason 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
46 SON Joshua 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
47 DAVIS Blake 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
48 HERIGSTAD Daniel 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.