Ben Gutenberg Memorial SYC - RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Friday, October 17, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Golisano Training Center at Nazareth University - Rochester, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
2 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
3 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 24%
5 MA YIXING (Tiger) 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 34% 8%
6 TOWNSHEND Connor 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 13% 2%
7 DURKIN Hudson 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
8 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 7%
9 NG Nico 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
10 MARTISEK Martin 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
11 LEE Harrison 100% 97% 65% 24% 4% - -
12 BHANDARE Veer 100% 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
13 NESTOR William 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
14 WANG Eason 100% 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
15 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 98% 87% 61% 30% 8% 1%
16 STEVENS Owen 100% 89% 59% 26% 7% 1% -
17 ZHANG Marcus 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
18 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
19 KAPLAN Maddox 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 3%
20 NOOL Alexander 100% 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
21 MIDYANY Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
22 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 99% 94% 77% 47% 18% 3%
23 CUELLAR Markus 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% -
24 HOLCOMB Liam 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
25 BARONE Anthony 100% 86% 43% 11% 1% -
26 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 97% 83% 55% 24% 6% 1%
27 LIU-XUE Shuliang 100% 60% 20% 4% - - -
28 WAGNER Bennett 100% 16% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.