War of the Roses at NWFC (Open Epee, Y14 Epee)

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, August 10, 2019 at 9:00 AM

Northwest Fencing Center - Beaverton, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LANGE Henry C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
2 LARSEN Samuel F. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
3 JAKLITSCH Michael (Mike) T. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
3 MCGAW Julian E. 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 15%
5 BENACK Steven M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 26% 4%
6 FELKER Jared L. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
7 FAUBERT Andy C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 37%
8 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
9 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
10 NEAL Henry 100% 98% 81% 40% 7% < 1% -
11 FERGUSON Ross A. 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 5%
12 BENACK Mark 100% 92% 59% 16% 1% -
13 YU Colin 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
14 SHOREY David P. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
15 ROY Joseph T. 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
16 LEI Jacob 100% 100% 96% 73% 33% 6%
17 BEITTEL Chloe F. 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 18% 3%
18 BODON Michele I. 100% 100% 92% 66% 29% 6%
19 LEI Joshua 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 12%
20 CHU Audrey 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
21 DUCHOW Benjamin W. 100% 100% 93% 66% 25% 2%
22 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2%
23 DUCHOW Henry M. 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
24 RUSSELL Renata 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
25 DUCHOW Matthew D. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
26 HINMAN Andrew 100% 96% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
27 COPELAN Maria A. 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
27 CHOI Isaac 100% 97% 79% 42% 10% -
29 FERGUSON William 100% 95% 64% 22% 3% -
30 PARKER Emilie Rose (Rosie) 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
31 LAI Coby 100% 89% 49% 8% 1% -
32 LLOYD Alex 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
33 BARNES Olivia R. 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% -
34 FLESHER Daniel J. 100% 99% 86% 47% 11% 1% -
35 MCFARLAND Kai 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2% -
36 SKIFFINGTON Sam 100% 87% 45% 8% - -
37 JACOBUS Curran 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
38 MCGAW Maia 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
39 GULLO Kenji Y. 100% 64% 16% 2% - -
40 SHERTZ Kira E. 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% - -
41 DUAN Jenny S. 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1%
42 PERRIGO Ben 100% 95% 68% 27% 4% -
43 SCHMUGAR Brooke 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
44 GOLDEN Danielle 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
45 PROKOPEAS Grace 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.