VA Division 2025/26 Junior Olympic Qualifiers

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 10:00 AM

AIC Fencing Club - Ashburn, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHANEY Charles - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 17%
2 RAMEY Daylon 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
3 WATERS Nathaniel - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
4 SZIEDE Kieran - 1% 7% 20% 33% 29% 10%
5 MCCABE Kian 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
6 HALE Bradley 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
7 BAYUS Oliver 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
8 BORAN Brooks 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 13% 2%
9 MARKOWITZ Sam - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
10 THORN Evan 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
11 SALLAI Abel 1% 10% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1%
12 KIM Daniel 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
13 LORENZ Nathan 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 4%
14 CHONG Eden 25% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
15 STRAFFORD Andrew 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
16 MEDISETTI Arjun 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
17 BROSNAN Solomon 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
18 DHALA Ayaan 40% 40% 16% 3% - - -
19 SMOTHERS Nathan 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
20 KONG Ethan 4% 19% 34% 30% 12% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.