VA Division 2025/26 Junior Olympic Qualifiers

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 10:00 AM

AIC Fencing Club - Ashburn, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHANEY Charles 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
2 RAMEY Daylon 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 15% 2%
3 WATERS Nathaniel 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
4 SZIEDE Kieran 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 39% 10%
5 MCCABE Kian 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5%
6 HALE Bradley 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
7 BAYUS Oliver 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
8 BORAN Brooks 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 16% 2%
9 MARKOWITZ Sam 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
10 THORN Evan 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
11 SALLAI Abel 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
12 KIM Daniel 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
13 LORENZ Nathan 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
14 CHONG Eden 100% 75% 35% 10% 1% -
15 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
16 MEDISETTI Arjun 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
17 BROSNAN Solomon 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
18 DHALA Ayaan 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
19 SMOTHERS Nathan 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 5% -
20 KONG Ethan 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.