Ben Gutenberg Memorial SYC - RJCC

Junior Women's Épée

Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Golisano Training Center at Nazareth University - Rochester, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MA Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
2 KONG Mila W. 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1%
3 WONG Sydney 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
3 NING Miranda 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
5 FURMAN Maria 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
6 XU Sunia (Tai Yang) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
7 MENG YIFAN 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
8 HU Constance 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
9 HALE Avery 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 14%
10 KROPP Anne (Charlie) 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
11 ZHANG Michelle 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
12 LI Nicole 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% -
14 BOROTKO Katerina 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
15 SUN Nicole 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
16 HOWARD Katherine 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
17 LIANG Carina 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
18 JU Jennifer 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
19 IVANOV Angela-Sophie 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
20 DONG Iris 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1%
21 DING Iris Siyue 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
22 CORNFIELD Emily 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
23 TISHKOVA-ROBERTS Daria 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
24 WANG Cecilia 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
25 DU Andria 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3% -
26 LIU Chloe 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
27 HALE Reagan 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
28 YOUN Emily 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
29 FOMINA Polina 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
30 CHEN Allison 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
31 SONKU Mira 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
32 ZHONG Evelyn 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
33 TAM Connie 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.