Event Results
The University of Michigan OpenSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | LEUNG Ethan | V V V V V | V V V V | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 2 | ORONOWICZ Jakub | V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 3 | MANCINI Ludovica | V V V V V | V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 3 | ACURERO GONZÁLEZ Anabella | V V V V V | V V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 5 | ASHIDA Tomoaki | V V V V | V V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 6 | GNEUHS Sam | V V V V D | V V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 7 | TOWNE Benjamin | D V V V V | V V D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 8 | WU Benjamin (Ben) | V V V D V | V V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 9 | PAN Qikun | V D V V | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 10 | CROMPTON Celia N. | D V D V V | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 10 | METZ Evan | V D V D V | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 12 | PRYOR Ted | D D V V V | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 13 | MEI Jiahao | V D V V D | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 14 | DRIVER Atticus | V V D D D | V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 15 | MUMFORD Josh | V D D D V | V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 16 | MCGOVERN James | V D D V D | V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 17 | ERSOZ Yasemin | D V V D | D | 0.8 | 2 | +1.2 |
| 18 | STEMLER Tyler | D V D V D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 19 | BAKKE Alexander | D D D V V | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 20 | PERRIN Emma | D V V D D | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 21 | IVASKA Mintas | D D V D V | D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 22 | ROJAS Antonio | V D D D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 23 | MACK Jacob | V D D D D | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 24 | RUSSELL Prudence | D V D D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 25 | CHEN Kedwin | D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 26 | GREEN Ethan | D D D D | D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| 27 | GYORKE Curran | D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 27 | SOTO Prudence | D D D D D | D | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| 29 | JACKSON Christopher | D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |