The University of Michigan Open

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 10:15 AM

Sports Coliseum - Ann Arbor, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LEUNG Ethan - - 2% 18% 47% 33%
2 ORONOWICZ Jakub - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
3 MANCINI Ludovica - - 4% 24% 47% 25%
3 ACURERO GONZÁLEZ Anabella - 1% 9% 31% 43% 16%
5 ASHIDA Tomoaki - 4% 24% 49% 23%
6 GNEUHS Sam - 5% 25% 42% 25% 3%
7 TOWNE Benjamin 1% 14% 39% 35% 10% 1%
8 WU Benjamin (Ben) 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
9 PAN Qikun 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
10 CROMPTON Celia N. 4% 23% 38% 27% 8% 1%
10 METZ Evan 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 3%
12 PRYOR Ted 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
13 MEI Jiahao - 6% 26% 40% 23% 4%
14 DRIVER Atticus 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
15 MUMFORD Josh 1% 14% 36% 35% 13% 1%
16 MCGOVERN James 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 4%
17 ERSOZ Yasemin 43% 41% 14% 2% -
18 STEMLER Tyler 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
19 BAKKE Alexander 4% 19% 35% 30% 12% 2%
20 PERRIN Emma 17% 41% 32% 9% 1% -
21 IVASKA Mintas - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
22 ROJAS Antonio 9% 41% 37% 11% 1%
23 MACK Jacob 52% 37% 10% 1% - -
24 RUSSELL Prudence 8% 27% 37% 23% 6% -
25 CHEN Kedwin 34% 52% 13% 1% - -
26 GREEN Ethan 2% 21% 50% 24% 3%
27 GYORKE Curran 3% 29% 45% 20% 3% -
27 SOTO Prudence 1% 19% 41% 31% 7% -
29 JACKSON Christopher 42% 40% 15% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.