River City Regional Rumble RYC/RJCC/Y8

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHO Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 53%
2 MIKHAIL Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
3 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
3 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
5 YAO Aiden 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 28%
6 FEELY Benjamin 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
7 MEDISETTI Arjun 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
8 BANG Dylan 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
9 GATEWOOD Michael 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
10 CHAN Ian 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
11 CHANEY Charles 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
12 CASH William Li 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
13 WU Jiachen 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
14 KELLY Blair 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
15 DOAN Christopher 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
16 SAAD Peter 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
17 KONG Ethan 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
18 KIM Siwoo 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
19 BORAN Brooks 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
20 HAM Ian 100% 94% 66% 25% 4%
21 ALPSOY Emir 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
22 PARY Jean Pierre 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
23 LEE Taeryum 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2%
24 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 1%
25 KUYKENDALL Logan 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
26 RICHMOND Ozan 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
27 HUDSON Declan 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
28 WEI Jayden 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
29 SCOTTODIMARCO James 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1%
30 ZENG Felix 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 8%
31 LI Nolan 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1%
32 KUYKENDALL Lucas 100% 96% 70% 30% 6% -
33 YU Jeremy 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
34 STEPANIAN George 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
36 GUO Benjamin 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
37 MBERIA Henry 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 8% 1%
38 REYNOLDS CHANG Luke 100% 87% 46% 13% 2% - -
39 SUK Kwon 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
40 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
41 FEELY Samuel 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2%
42 CHUNG Daehyun Daniel 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
43 ZHUKOV Egor 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
44 GALIOTE James 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
45 CHONG Eden 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% -
46 FERNANDEZ ZAMBRANA Rafael Lucas 100% 86% 48% 13% 1%
47 QU ethan 100% 85% 45% 12% 2% -
48 MCGAHAN Cashton 100% 37% 6% - - -
49 SHULL Matthias 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
50 KUBBA Sauvil 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
51 GINDE Advay 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
52 MILLER Xavier 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
53 YEALDHALL Griffin 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
54 SCHIFFRIN Jonah 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
55 SMITH Noah 100% 96% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
56 MORET Declan 100% 61% 18% 3% - -
56 PARK Jeremy 100% 74% 30% 6% -
58 FENG Xinmin 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.