2025 TCFC October Challenges

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 2:30 PM

TCFC - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MANSKE Niul S. - - - - 2% 19% 80%
2 FELICIANO Damien - - 2% 12% 36% 41% 10%
3 HONEK Kyle - 1% 5% 23% 43% 26% 2%
3 STELLPFLUG Zachary - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
5 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
6 BISSEN Quinn - - - 3% 44% 43% 11%
7 ELDRIDGE Hudson 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
8 BENGTSON Jasmine 2% 14% 39% 38% 7% - -
9 SANFORD Wesley 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1% -
10 SCHROEDER Karl A. - 1% 11% 34% 41% 13%
11 DRAWZ Chase - 2% 16% 41% 33% 8%
12 CAVEN Emerald 25% 44% 25% 5% - -
13 STENZEL Henry 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
14 YATES Graeme - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22% 1%
15 HICKNER Gabe 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
16 TELCI Arya 8% 33% 41% 16% 2% - -
17 CULVER Hannah 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
18 PETERSON Penelope 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
19 JORGENSEN Rebekah 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
20 LEE Wilson 1% 16% 43% 33% 7% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.